Champions League · resolved market
Will Boca Juniors beat Auckland City?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa11df5cb4aaf2cdd7b69ffadd62522fae79a2e85b2edd76890ef1684c82b9f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $301,751
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $373,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $301,751 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed No | 2c | 58,495$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,442.5 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +81%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 2c | 36,286$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,710.1 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 10c | 9,224$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,279.6 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 3c | 7,100$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,907.5 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked Yes | 53c | 6,837$3,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,612.61 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed No | 12c | 6,759$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,943.23 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed No | 2c | 6,000$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,851 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 2c | 5,738$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,622.44 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Yes | 48c | 5,331$2,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,537.87 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 14c | 5,233$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,520.89 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 79c | 3,176$2,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,510.92 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed No | 18c | 2,658$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,167.95 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed No | 1c | 2,529$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,515.14 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +403.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…136bbacked No | 2c | 2,524$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,476.35 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +305.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed No | 26c | 1,975$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.75 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Yes | 47c | 1,598$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.54 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 8c | 1,451$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.5 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…fa49backed No | 27c | 1,211$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.51 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9235…3fbdbacked No | 2c | 1,194$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | +779.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 80c | 1,176$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.6 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Yes | 80c | 1,000$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5085…d8a4backed No | 2c | 999.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +1,050.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…05b2backed No | 2c | 924.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.12 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 51c | 848$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.55 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 3c | 784.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.32 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 12c | 701.52$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.47 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 2c | 558.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.93 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked No | 2c | 500$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Yes | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e67…91b0backed Yes | 57c | 500$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 51c | 472.75$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 160 | 36.9%59 W · 101 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 79c | 462.81$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 25c | 411.81$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.26 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 52c | 336$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.11 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 61c | 315.7$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.64 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 45c | 277.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.1 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Yes | 56c | 255$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.21 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47fc…b576backed Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa486…25d4backed No | 8c | 169.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +184.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Yes | 37c | 134.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 34c | 120$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06af…3741backed Yes | 63c | 120$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.12 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…6578backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…ab32backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed No | 19c | 91.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.81 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 25c | 88.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.85 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95b…1692backed Yes | 80c | 70$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4116…330abacked Yes | 60c | 33.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf861…4864backed Yes | 71c | 33.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7975…d3f7backed Yes | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd18…a458backed Yes | 58c | 23.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Yes | 74c | 20.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3777…eb6ebacked Yes | 79c | 16.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x278f…715fbacked Yes | 72c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Boca Juniors beat Auckland City?this page
- Will Auckland City beat Boca Juniors?No won
- Will Auckland City vs. Boca Juniors end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.