Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Rangers beat Tottenham?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb41f7fce456fdfd272661282065e647c052cbb265645026bb4266e7a59591395
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,654
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,874
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,654 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 69c | 4,301$2,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.14 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 35c | 4,269$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.35 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 33c | 2,239$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.22 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 28c | 1,608$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.22 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 69c | 1,367$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.91 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 31c | 1,172$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.09 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 73c | 778$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.06 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…3312backed No | 50c | 643.56$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.82 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +101.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Yes | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 50c | 410.07$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.82 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked No | 41c | 329.09$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.58 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 70c | 285.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.78 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 66c | 262.07$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed No | 77c | 250$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3371…18d5backed No | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +314.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…269bbacked No | 43c | 231.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed No | 75c | 171.74$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed No | 46c | 171.09$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.39 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…e11fbacked Yes | 34c | 167.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed No | 36c | 156$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.84 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa8…8f99backed Yes | 30c | 126.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe085…5474backed Yes | 26c | 116.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87bf…374ebacked No | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5c…2d34backed Yes | 28c | 93.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 34c | 88.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Yes | 21c | 65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 79c | 65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…235fbacked Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a32…18fabacked No | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rangers beat Tottenham?this page
- Will Tottenham beat Rangers?No won
- Will the match between Rangers and Tottenham end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.