Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Tottenham beat Rangers?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6211db79e945c8f2674e44bd93abcc652a538784f65b66e723d8d288bf8e4932
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 53c | 20,070$10,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,337.47 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 48c | 15,164$7,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,323.04 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fd…541dbacked Yes | 44c | 5,888$2,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,589.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 56c | 5,544$3,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,461.81 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa19a…2f33backed Yes | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2d…673fbacked Yes | 50c | 3,878$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed No | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 58c | 2,827$1,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.04 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 41c | 2,657$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.84 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe256…12f8backed Yes | 51c | 1,191$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x159f…90ccbacked No | 56c | 1,050$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1048…f83abacked Yes | 45c | 1,050$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…3312backed Yes | 49c | 922.06$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.91 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +101.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 49c | 813.04$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.65 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 26c | 731.55$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.2 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 33c | 711.46$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.12 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc478…65ecbacked Yes | 46c | 700$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 53c | 563.13$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.67 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8815…e147backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd69a…81eabacked Yes | 56c | 292.32$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.7 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed No | 51c | 292.29$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed No | 57c | 285.77$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.88 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 71c | 262.58$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.4 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 55c | 252.73$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 5c | 250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…0050backed Yes | 23c | 238.82$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7c…5947backed Yes | 43c | 233.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 55c | 218$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.42 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed No | 55c | 217.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.42 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…269bbacked No | 54c | 212.96$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7b…7bc3backed Yes | 48c | 188.89$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 77c | 188.27$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.86 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d4…80a7backed Yes | 45c | 164.15$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed No | 56c | 160$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.6 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe763…3d69backed Yes | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 58c | 136.7$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.33 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6980…a328backed Yes | 30c | 136.36$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe085…5474backed Yes | 21c | 127.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa8…8f99backed Yes | 26c | 125.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 49c | 125$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 16c | 124.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…0fe3backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48e…8f7dbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked No | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87bf…374ebacked Yes | 43c | 82.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…1165backed Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4241…b6ebbacked Yes | 44c | 67.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe608…0c2cbacked No | 54c | 66.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…de7bbacked Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3869…35c2backed Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…1ad8backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1306…c689backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf501…d663backed Yes | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…64a0backed Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94da…b3aabacked Yes | 43c | 30.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8267…5346backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe5…365cbacked Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6255…40b6backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8d…3497backed Yes | 45c | 28.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 57c | 23.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c05…fc5ebacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee18…4249backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf185…1bd1backed No | 59c | 18.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +112%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tottenham beat Rangers?this page
- Will Rangers beat Tottenham?No won
- Will the match between Rangers and Tottenham end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.