Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in his first 100 days?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0cb707da67522398deb25aa811bdb46092b4e446187fa0896e51e037ab8040e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,312,596
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,498,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,312,596 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb75…0252backed Yes | 14c | 60,604$8,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,273.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd124…e0babacked Yes | 2c | 53,627$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6e…5c3dbacked Yes | 0c | 25,799$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.8 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 18,961$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.28 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 16,536$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.91 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34e3…6adcbacked Yes | 20c | 15,367$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d57…bfc5backed Yes | 0c | 13,608$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8329…96c2backed Yes | 3c | 8,771$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a68cbacked Yes | 12c | 8,241$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 2c | 6,198$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.35 | 124 | 4.8%6 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…8b8cbacked Yes | 0c | 5,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a5…a5bfbacked Yes | 15c | 5,405$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.71 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…e55abacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 11c | 4,326$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.71 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…6a1cbacked Yes | 13c | 3,899$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…f860backed Yes | 17c | 3,682$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.17 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f04…d82ebacked Yes | 15c | 3,400$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 33cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53c2…05a3backed Yes | 5c | 3,253$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 5c | 3,158$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.76 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3743…e5b6backed Yes | 5c | 3,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 18c | 2,847$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.46 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bd…ce39backed Yes | 1c | 2,556$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes | 3c | 2,548$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.34 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 2,395$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 49 | 0%0 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 16c | 2,361$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.92 | 135 | 37.8%51 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 19c | 2,321$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.99 | 320 | 29.1%93 W · 227 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce6…26bdbacked Yes | 12c | 2,250$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,014$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 240 | 0%0 W · 240 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7851backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…6544backed Yes | 14c | 2,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1af…d889backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…195ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,805$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a8…0bfcbacked Yes | 7c | 1,770$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.9 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c54…7e8cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,741$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.46 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f2…c208backed Yes | 8c | 1,502$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…8e91backed Yes | 9c | 1,490$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 16c | 1,490$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…6a4cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,448$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 14c | 1,254$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.84 | 172 | 25%43 W · 129 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…a9c5backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +37%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…a2cdbacked Yes | 15c | 1,177$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.57 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdf…c324backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…fec3backed Yes | 15c | 1,047$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x692f…05d3backed Yes | 10c | 1,042$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d7…28f0backed Yes | 3c | 1,034$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…2f18backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7aa…d0f0backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 15c | 999.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 74 | 73%54 W · 20 L | +12.8wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ee…ec14backed Yes | 11c | 957.94$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.18 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Yes | 8c | 920$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 21cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e8…69babacked Yes | 2c | 910.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 13c | 910.34$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.15 | 136 | 73.5%100 W · 36 L | +28.4wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x0018…3a1bbacked Yes | 4c | 856.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 17c | 848.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.93 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe064…cd51backed Yes | 2c | 805.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82c2…adc5backed No | 80c | 767$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…0788backed Yes | 8c | 750$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb956…c475backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…00aabacked Yes | 8c | 685.37$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 63c | 678.05$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.97 | 151 | 24.5%37 W · 114 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3928…fc16backed Yes | 7c | 676.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…8d76backed Yes | 4c | 671.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 125 | 31.2%39 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 9c | 666.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cac…6fa7backed Yes | 9c | 666.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…d6e2backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6b…3742backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe085…5474backed Yes | 8c | 665.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…70e6backed Yes | 8c | 657.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf9…e645backed Yes | 2c | 612.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50bc…78c2backed Yes | 11c | 600$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d22…b357backed Yes | 14c | 555.64$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x271c…e1abbacked Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8387…ace9backed Yes | 15c | 517$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.55 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd8…5ddcbacked Yes | 6c | 515.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf136…60adbacked Yes | 12c | 432.79$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…0cc4backed Yes | 8c | 416.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 4c | 384$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78ab…5c76backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…844ebacked Yes | 8c | 312.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7116…0e72backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x124a…1332backed Yes | 14c | 281.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa91…68cebacked Yes | 4c | 272.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374c…d53fbacked Yes | 19c | 266.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4608…f6edbacked Yes | 19c | 252.94$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42af…78c6backed Yes | 8c | 252.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee5…fb4bbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff30…32e1backed Yes | 19c | 247.61$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f70…eebdbacked Yes | 19c | 247.06$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb1…1b08backed Yes | 19c | 241.53$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb28…7590backed Yes | 19c | 241.05$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b72…0af9backed Yes | 19c | 241.03$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa24…cd5ebacked Yes | 19c | 240.61$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…2027backed Yes | 19c | 240.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x020b…76b1backed Yes | 19c | 239.19$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2a…90d3backed Yes | 19c | 239.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d9…a153backed Yes | 19c | 238.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7c…20c0backed Yes | 19c | 238.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in his first 100 days?this page
- Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump pardon CZ in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump pardon Diddy in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump pardon Roger Stone in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?Yes won
- Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump pardon SBF in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump pardon Young Thug in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump pardon a January 6 protestor in his first 100 days?Yes won
- Will Trump pardon himself in his first 100 days?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.