Us Politics · resolved market

Will Trump pardon himself in his first 100 days?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x598b7a49768d859d9c279feb4b64f12f00cc05b327b29e655ef98b798a279bb7

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 30, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,087,167
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,373,018

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,087,167 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9d84…1344backed Yes	11c	56,566$5,965 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,964.67	355	19.7%70 W · 285 L	-16.3wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x82a0…33a1backed Yes	2c	32,447$707 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$706.89	74	20.3%15 W · 59 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbaa…f756backed Yes	9c	10,604$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9be…1d98backed Yes	10c	8,051$774 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$774.45	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+2.0wins	+0.49per pick	26cpaid	+149.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes	4c	7,547$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.78	284	7.7%22 W · 262 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cba…6a4cbacked Yes	10c	7,538$723 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$723.34	72	27.8%20 W · 52 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe53e…7bb3backed Yes	7c	7,302$513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$513.1	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-2.8wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe837…739fbacked Yes	5c	6,780$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.25	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.13per pick	30cpaid	-77.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x040e…8edfbacked Yes	9c	6,265$564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$564.23	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75ac…33d7backed Yes	10c	6,222$623 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$622.58	320	29.1%93 W · 227 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x471b…b18fbacked Yes	2c	5,413$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes	0c	5,348$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.34	58	0%0 W · 58 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05d7…676fbacked Yes	1c	5,111$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.99	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.15per pick	13cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bbc…a861backed Yes	5c	5,000$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	8	25%2 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa1da…8f6abacked Yes	11c	5,000$534 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$534.07	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.12per pick	34cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes	11c	5,000$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	64	32.8%21 W · 43 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec40…fce5backed Yes	9c	5,000$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+1.2wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+17%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x00a6…9343backed Yes	10c	4,570$457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$457	77	28.6%22 W · 55 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd398…46d7backed Yes	11c	4,000$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440	118	48.3%57 W · 61 L	+13.0wins	+0.11per pick	37cpaid	+41.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes	3c	3,544$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.15	385	9.4%36 W · 349 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-56.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce8f…4400backed Yes	12c	3,317$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384.87	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x655f…0788backed Yes	13c	3,221$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3743…e5b6backed Yes	12c	3,000$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf23…aa95backed Yes	9c	2,541$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.71	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	15cpaid	-89.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe29c…81b9backed Yes	14c	2,500$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc018…4859backed Yes	14c	2,444$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.14	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	2,302$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.07	1,136	6.3%72 W · 1,064 L	-25.9wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-55.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x291b…a7afbacked Yes	5c	2,282$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.8	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.36per pick	14cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Yes	3c	2,190$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.44	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-26%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf41…1587backed Yes	5c	2,000$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	49	38.8%19 W · 30 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb0d…0764backed Yes	4c	1,993$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	-59.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6594…9a61backed Yes	13c	1,885$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.04	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x094a…8402backed Yes	11c	1,864$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5700…df20backed Yes	11c	1,790$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.92	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.12per pick	54cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96e0…b648backed Yes	12c	1,541$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.17	45	44.4%20 W · 25 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x585b…753fbacked Yes	9c	1,500$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	63	57.1%36 W · 27 L	+8.9wins	+0.14per pick	43cpaid	+59.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa727…8289backed Yes	11c	1,500$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	42	16.7%7 W · 35 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-64.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb00…8a42backed Yes	10c	1,443$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.84	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c7b…d06fbacked Yes	13c	1,436$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	80	30%24 W · 56 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Yes	13c	1,436$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184	236	39.4%93 W · 143 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc22…b749backed Yes	14c	1,429$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	-18%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa416…025ebacked Yes	10c	1,411$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.14	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb293…cb90backed Yes	4c	1,411$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.12	177	13%23 W · 154 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes	2c	1,310$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.44	176	33%58 W · 118 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc85a…afb1backed Yes	9c	1,303$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x249c…06e3backed Yes	14c	1,300$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f8d…1df6backed Yes	4c	1,220$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.8	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	12cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2162…f0b1backed Yes	10c	1,187$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.68	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Yes	3c	1,153$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.93	170	21.2%36 W · 134 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedef…2919backed Yes	5c	1,040$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf02…7d31backed Yes	5c	1,022$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x542a…a81bbacked Yes	9c	1,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	100	7%7 W · 93 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b6…2f9fbacked Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x361f…0fc2backed Yes	11c	990.91$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfbb…dc2bbacked Yes	2c	959.98$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.31	42	47.6%20 W · 22 L	+3.8wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d56…7111backed Yes	11c	909.09$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a3a…ee52backed Yes	9c	900$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	+3.7wins	+0.15per pick	22cpaid	+68.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7db3…77ccbacked Yes	9c	882.8$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.3	59	16.9%10 W · 49 L	-4.7wins	-0.08per pick	25cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa540…bdcdbacked Yes	11c	880.86$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	17cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865c…ea31backed Yes	5c	864.95$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	11cpaid	-67.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac55…61f7backed Yes	35c	861.54$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7b0…533bbacked Yes	12c	833.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb27…4db3backed Yes	4c	816.85$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.31	39	20.5%8 W · 31 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12c0…7bd8backed Yes	8c	804.41$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.64	82	19.5%16 W · 66 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes	10c	800$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	+2.9wins	+0.10per pick	14cpaid	+72.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb244…2e52backed Yes	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd542…9e2ebacked Yes	2c	764.71$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8fea…4ed2backed Yes	9c	687.09$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.84	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	30cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbba4…f8c6backed Yes	3c	670$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.6	51	49%25 W · 26 L	+4.3wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6726…eabdbacked Yes	15c	666.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb777…6e06backed Yes	9c	650$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0add…bf3ebacked Yes	8c	616$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.28	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc107…b060backed Yes	2c	600.59$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.21	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x96fc…457abacked Yes	5c	600$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.17per pick	28cpaid	-85.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x772d…0d99backed Yes	5c	581.9$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.71	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc4bf…7eacbacked Yes	14c	560.43$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.46	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa69f…6874backed Yes	9c	534$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.06	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+60.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c91…c5f9backed Yes	6c	516.93$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.5	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	23cpaid	-67.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb287…c255backed Yes	4c	512.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.23per pick	39cpaid	-75.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x985e…f9d4backed Yes	10c	508.71$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes	11c	504$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.44	135	37.8%51 W · 84 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d46…bfb6backed Yes	9c	500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf338…14f2backed Yes	14c	500$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfac5…7820backed Yes	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	15cpaid	-91.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66a5…56cbbacked Yes	11c	500$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-55.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32a4…3956backed Yes	13c	500$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes	12c	500$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	180	33.3%60 W · 120 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb826…e3ddbacked Yes	10c	499.99$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.21per pick	29cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x273c…0788backed Yes	13c	422.3$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.02	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa459…635bbacked Yes	12c	420$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.4	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	19cpaid	+42.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xac57…f112backed Yes	12c	416.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab1e…1b05backed Yes	13c	412.46$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.88	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3a0b…da3abacked Yes	4c	389.22$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.13per pick	12cpaid	+31.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d4b…559cbacked Yes	10c	389$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.9	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94c6…2ef0backed Yes	9c	388.89$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2aa…721abacked Yes	11c	382.36$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.06	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33af…fd88backed Yes	11c	368.36$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.52	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2498…4c96backed Yes	19c	366.24$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.72	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e05…6446backed Yes	11c	327.27$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd6c…68d9backed Yes	13c	317.1$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Trump pardon himself in his first 100 days?this page
Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez in his first 100 days?No won
Will Trump pardon CZ in his first 100 days?No won
Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in his first 100 days?No won
Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in his first 100 days?No won
Will Trump pardon Diddy in his first 100 days?No won
Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?No won
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in his first 100 days?No won
Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in his first 100 days?No won
Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in his first 100 days?No won
Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic in his first 100 days?No won
Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in his first 100 days?No won
Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz in his first 100 days?No won
Will Trump pardon Roger Stone in his first 100 days?No won
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in his first 100 days?No won
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?Yes won
Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in his first 100 days?No won
Will Trump pardon SBF in his first 100 days?No won
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days?No won
Will Trump pardon Young Thug in his first 100 days?No won
Will Trump pardon a January 6 protestor in his first 100 days?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Trump pardon himself in his first 100 days?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event