Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in his first 100 days?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bf98b2e116dfe87345973a026dbc13ee6183bb3c0328851c55c21089e893a93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,466,254
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,559,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,466,254 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 391 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x62cf…5826backed No | 72c | 155,591$111,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,732.68 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f2…2cd0backed Yes | 21c | 61,783$12,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,834.04 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa47e…5d1ebacked Yes | 22c | 53,692$12,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,012.42 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 76c | 39,833$30,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,498.45 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…5827backed Yes | 21c | 37,243$7,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,751.59 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…bc74backed Yes | 9c | 34,903$2,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,966.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed Yes | 9c | 32,822$3,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,036.07 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36cc…8642backed Yes | 30c | 30,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Yes | 26c | 28,786$7,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,380.06 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…62abbacked Yes | 18c | 28,361$5,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,084.81 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -58%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 24c | 27,978$6,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,624.57 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…a5cabacked Yes | 25c | 27,807$6,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,941.67 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Yes | 8c | 27,737$2,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,326.34 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 73c | 26,825$19,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,210.58 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed Yes | 20c | 24,101$4,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,737.14 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 16c | 20,127$3,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,153.48 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed No | 70c | 19,821$13,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,879.48 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 4c | 19,556$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.4 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 12c | 18,709$2,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,335.07 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 68c | 17,588$11,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,651.41 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9b…4d6cbacked Yes | 7c | 17,467$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.51 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 4c | 12,690$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.63 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 11c | 12,193$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.04 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 9c | 12,082$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.72 | 86 | 15.1%13 W · 73 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 6c | 11,942$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.1 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfb…e789backed Yes | 9c | 10,683$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee57…4cb0backed Yes | 3c | 10,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.55 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc6…62e0backed Yes | 12c | 10,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…d4a6backed No | 79c | 9,610$7,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,007.46 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked Yes | 26c | 9,374$2,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,465 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…be5ebacked Yes | 29c | 8,461$2,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,448.36 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa84…cc4cbacked No | 70c | 7,929$5,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,415.92 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 18c | 7,441$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.19 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yes | 27c | 7,030$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888.24 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd875…f21abacked Yes | 6c | 6,976$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6115…2a89backed Yes | 14c | 6,521$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.35 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cf…0569backed No | 77c | 6,276$4,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ed…c6d1backed Yes | 21c | 5,272$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0639…78debacked Yes | 77c | 5,272$4,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,067.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71b9…4069backed Yes | 37c | 5,020$1,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9513…a6a2backed Yes | 11c | 4,868$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.79 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 9c | 4,828$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.26 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5184…4517backed Yes | 19c | 4,770$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…f2cbbacked Yes | 3c | 4,500$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.48 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 10cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a3…c8debacked Yes | 21c | 4,430$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe165…8211backed Yes | 17c | 4,305$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.15 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…221cbacked No | 19c | 4,229$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,441.15 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…13eebacked Yes | 7c | 4,190$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…fef9backed Yes | 12c | 4,152$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 5c | 4,134$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.44 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bf…7424backed Yes | 7c | 4,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49db…2019backed Yes | 7c | 3,553$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.53 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked No | 69c | 3,500$2,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc0…907bbacked Yes | 30c | 3,350$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf8…042fbacked Yes | 12c | 3,300$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 13c | 3,249$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.11 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 16c | 3,210$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.3 | 320 | 29.1%93 W · 227 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…531ebacked Yes | 27c | 3,000$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.64 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…986fbacked No | 74c | 2,706$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.54 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd543…b262backed Yes | 34c | 2,640$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49b8…762dbacked Yes | 6c | 2,632$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2541…4f1ebacked No | 79c | 2,551$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…cdf9backed Yes | 23c | 2,475$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…df9bbacked Yes | 16c | 1,842$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.48 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd49…0d55backed Yes | 6c | 1,827$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.1 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…18f6backed Yes | 15c | 1,788$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 19c | 1,719$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.63 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 74c | 1,707$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.11 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 33c | 1,653$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.83 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfe…5087backed Yes | 12c | 1,603$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…77ccbacked Yes | 39c | 1,601$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.32 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 11c | 1,532$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.19 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…a210backed Yes | 9c | 1,510$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.98 | 74 | 28.4%21 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e84…4b92backed Yes | 30c | 1,500$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.01 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 19c | 1,484$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.88 | 180 | 33.3%60 W · 120 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes | 3c | 1,400$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 98 | 10.2%10 W · 88 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked No | 77c | 1,390$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.99 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 18c | 1,382$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.67 | 170 | 21.2%36 W · 134 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…e5f3backed Yes | 52c | 1,380$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dde…94c3backed No | 72c | 1,273$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.15 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5725…36e3backed Yes | 14c | 1,250$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.8 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6743…4ccbbacked Yes | 6c | 1,228$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2663…ed1fbacked Yes | 17c | 1,227$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.76 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed Yes | 12c | 1,210$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.53 | 159 | 24.5%39 W · 120 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 34c | 1,182$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.7 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked No | 68c | 1,172$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.8 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbb…dc2bbacked No | 60c | 1,147$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.06 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb73…c340backed Yes | 31c | 1,145$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 69c | 1,127$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.3 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Yes | 18c | 1,115$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.9 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe77e…bb3dbacked Yes | 15c | 1,110$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.43 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 6c | 1,110$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.66 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bae…2e92backed Yes | 26c | 1,100$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.64 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 13c | 1,100$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 283 | 20.5%58 W · 225 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 12c | 1,095$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.6 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac92…67efbacked Yes | 19c | 1,039$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -68%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…beecbacked Yes | 16c | 1,037$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.9 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x495c…512bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,022$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fea…d383backed No | 27c | 1,003$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.68 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in his first 100 days?this page
- Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump pardon CZ in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump pardon Diddy in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump pardon Roger Stone in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?Yes won
- Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump pardon SBF in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump pardon Young Thug in his first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump pardon a January 6 protestor in his first 100 days?Yes won
- Will Trump pardon himself in his first 100 days?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.