Tweets · resolved market
Will Trump post 16-20 times this week?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa26fc8cdc3493c75dd380e35e58b8d33f4c742818a81d2d9209983ba10898255
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $228,641
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $159,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $228,641 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x28af…019fbacked Yes | 12c | 22,548$2,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,728.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 2c | 21,676$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.89 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a2…be38backed Yes | 13c | 10,282$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.62 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf4…7883backed Yes | 18c | 7,023$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…4675backed Yes | 8c | 6,678$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.51 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x685e…bb41backed Yes | 14c | 6,161$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.66 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bba…9b86backed Yes | 1c | 5,400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x030a…acfcbacked Yes | 4c | 4,570$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 5c | 4,202$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a5…ee3dbacked Yes | 12c | 4,193$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…5535backed Yes | 26c | 3,955$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.96 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…81c4backed Yes | 25c | 3,248$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.09 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fe…c728backed Yes | 15c | 3,216$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.69 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -57%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1285…6a2fbacked Yes | 14c | 2,996$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…22a9backed Yes | 22c | 2,802$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5363…f46bbacked Yes | 25c | 2,493$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Yes | 14c | 2,479$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.06 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1188…bb30backed Yes | 9c | 2,154$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa357…1045backed Yes | 9c | 1,811$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.56 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…67a9backed Yes | 11c | 1,810$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.66 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6848…af6bbacked Yes | 11c | 1,584$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecc…6ee0backed Yes | 2c | 1,483$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 3cpaid | +640.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…0f73backed Yes | 4c | 1,476$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.68 | 261 | 12.6%33 W · 228 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d1…8eb2backed Yes | 14c | 1,429$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Yes | 7c | 1,400$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d5…6f6abacked Yes | 3c | 1,300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…36f0backed Yes | 16c | 1,276$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.74 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79f4…4afbbacked Yes | 8c | 1,189$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x766a…4f11backed Yes | 4c | 1,138$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92c4…75c3backed Yes | 8c | 1,113$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c15fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,059$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204e…4236backed Yes | 20c | 1,020$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8d…eb66backed Yes | 20c | 1,015$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0824…3bd9backed Yes | 10c | 1,004$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cc…04b4backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…0dacbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c1…9b20backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2320…f17ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66d4…ae10backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 3cpaid | +681.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 14c | 953.14$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.49 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6cc…31fdbacked Yes | 26c | 953.14$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.86 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eff…6c34backed Yes | 20c | 897.61$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa850…e2f8backed Yes | 18c | 868.22$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.93 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70de…db94backed Yes | 29c | 863.26$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.92 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb6…5917backed Yes | 10c | 838.72$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fa…77b5backed Yes | 12c | 800$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…a437backed Yes | 13c | 770.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa273…cd7cbacked Yes | 9c | 770$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42dd…48b7backed Yes | 15c | 750$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01f7…02dfbacked Yes | 13c | 743.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc060…9f96backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c5…3a81backed Yes | 10c | 703.32$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63f3…b6c8backed Yes | 7c | 667$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a1…0ff3backed Yes | 9c | 556.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Yes | 7c | 552.68$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 15cpaid | +506.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x542a…a81bbacked Yes | 3c | 537$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c6…67dfbacked Yes | 12c | 530$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff1…6c6bbacked Yes | 9c | 528.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa068…c1a7backed Yes | 20c | 507.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes | 6c | 500$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -84%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe0…f2a8backed Yes | 14c | 479.12$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 5c | 457.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed Yes | 40c | 444$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71aa…1a55backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce3…9236backed Yes | 12c | 372.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +122.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…10fdbacked Yes | 14c | 368.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 5c | 367$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -46%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe67…b933backed Yes | 11c | 361.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed Yes | 12c | 359$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6e…96ffbacked Yes | 16c | 336.17$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.66 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe741…c76dbacked Yes | 10c | 299.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba72…0dc6backed Yes | 34c | 291.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…b005backed Yes | 12c | 286.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9b…a65ebacked Yes | 5c | 263.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +634.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc487…d6c1backed Yes | 9c | 262.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011d…fcf6backed Yes | 17c | 253.23$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c00…0788backed Yes | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 13c | 220$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc154…4101backed Yes | 14c | 217.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…408cbacked Yes | 10c | 208.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…678cbacked Yes | 11c | 208$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c85…9e34backed Yes | 14c | 202.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a9…0729backed Yes | 10c | 199.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe470…b6e2backed Yes | 23c | 198.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…b391backed Yes | 11c | 197.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c6…b942backed Yes | 12c | 196.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x440f…71dcbacked Yes | 15c | 190.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62fe…1d08backed Yes | 10c | 190$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe085…5474backed Yes | 26c | 180.77$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dea…f981backed Yes | 9c | 175.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…c433backed Yes | 20c | 149.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8306…4ce5backed Yes | 14c | 135.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed Yes | 12c | 120$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d3…d671backed Yes | 13c | 119.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bb…c586backed Yes | 14c | 118$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Yes | 20c | 110.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump post 16-20 times this week?this page
- Will Trump post 1-10 times this week?No won
- Will Trump post 11-15 times this week?Yes won
- Will Trump post 21-25 times this week?No won
- Will Trump post 26-30 times this week?No won
- Will Trump post 31-35 times this week?No won
- Will Trump post 36-40 times this week?No won
- Will Trump post 41-45 times this week?No won
- Will Trump post 46-49 times this week?No won
- Will Trump post 50 or more times this week?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.