Tweets · resolved market
Will Trump post 11-15 times this week?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bca9b2e12c6ae6bba8307906106daf10a0c4b97ca4d55db96daa9fc1c4358d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $516,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $545,998
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $516,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30e4…5102backed No | 27c | 41,464$11,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,316.15 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +187%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 5c | 25,969$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.05 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a2…be38backed Yes | 39c | 25,910$10,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,737.84 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…bd72backed No | 47c | 13,667$6,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,421.37 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8371…06febacked Yes | 63c | 13,094$8,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7049…c20ebacked No | 56c | 12,566$7,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,044.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9c…d5c5backed Yes | 77c | 11,751$9,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,681.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63f8…60acbacked No | 7c | 10,304$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.42 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…d3e7backed Yes | 57c | 10,140$5,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,309.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…5535backed Yes | 66c | 9,000$5,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,078.44 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 74c | 8,546$6,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,351.36 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa357…1045backed No | 14c | 7,737$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.59 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cc…04b4backed Yes | 59c | 7,257$4,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,976.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed No | 18c | 6,536$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.59 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fe…c728backed No | 34c | 6,412$2,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,169.09 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -57%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bba…9b86backed No | 2c | 6,310$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.15 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf22c…9050backed No | 21c | 5,952$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bda…121bbacked Yes | 79c | 5,952$4,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…c043backed No | 23c | 5,892$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.42 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e3…246bbacked Yes | 70c | 5,838$4,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -33%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777e…2836backed No | 35c | 5,550$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…98cebacked No | 33c | 4,803$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +163.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bf…578bbacked Yes | 49c | 4,654$2,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,388.29 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a1…8f8dbacked No | 43c | 4,651$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed No | 49c | 4,500$2,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,216.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…678cbacked No | 3c | 4,449$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc111…d443backed No | 77c | 4,271$3,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,290.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5be…ee79backed No | 43c | 4,194$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…9ebdbacked Yes | 64c | 3,875$2,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 30c | 3,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x756a…1388backed No | 59c | 3,399$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6cc…31fdbacked Yes | 25c | 3,296$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,458.56 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed No | 19c | 3,145$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.27 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…1e98backed No | 75c | 2,920$2,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,185 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.24per pick | 65cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed No | 22c | 2,830$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfc…acb7backed No | 79c | 2,723$2,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,143.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a5…ee3dbacked No | 28c | 2,676$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…4ab8backed Yes | 40c | 2,524$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0824…3bd9backed Yes | 65c | 2,500$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f3…b6c8backed Yes | 22c | 2,357$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb78e…30e3backed Yes | 19c | 2,074$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8d…eb66backed Yes | 44c | 1,959$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed Yes | 48c | 1,908$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked No | 7c | 1,896$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…221dbacked Yes | 66c | 1,863$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 31c | 1,845$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…64abbacked No | 37c | 1,750$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f69…9c7abacked Yes | 27c | 1,715$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.71 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -46%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…17cfbacked No | 7c | 1,707$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes | 35c | 1,673$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204e…4236backed No | 18c | 1,600$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b3…b8cabacked No | 42c | 1,583$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked No | 10c | 1,500$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39e…e7c7backed No | 73c | 1,497$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed No | 12c | 1,450$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d1…8eb2backed No | 34c | 1,449$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Yes | 66c | 1,421$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3743…e5b6backed No | 17c | 1,410$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 23cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…3bd0backed Yes | 16c | 1,303$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +520.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…81c4backed Yes | 36c | 1,275$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked No | 5c | 1,267$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.27 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +61%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…e7a9backed No | 8c | 1,266$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb236…1d5dbacked No | 9c | 1,224$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca5…0adebacked No | 39c | 1,222$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182a…ef88backed Yes | 39c | 1,216$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.27 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 44c | 1,198$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked No | 76c | 1,197$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed Yes | 70c | 1,090$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84de…b018backed Yes | 5c | 1,054$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 3cpaid | +954.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…a286backed No | 30c | 1,020$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.6 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecc…6ee0backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 3cpaid | +640.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…d066backed No | 29c | 1,000$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 29c | 1,000$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66d4…ae10backed Yes | 3c | 999.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 3cpaid | +681.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…f2f6backed No | 9c | 994.74$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…7222backed No | 17c | 949.99$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…f234backed No | 20c | 900$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a3…5532backed No | 26c | 890.75$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…5e8dbacked No | 17c | 855.34$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a69…50b9backed Yes | 76c | 789.7$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a20…c0bcbacked No | 32c | 786$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x030a…acfcbacked Yes | 50c | 747.18$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2637…8536backed No | 46c | 708$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42dd…48b7backed No | 37c | 700$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…8100backed No | 65c | 700$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e2…cdbebacked Yes | 25c | 699.53$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +298.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1285…6a2fbacked Yes | 30c | 695.13$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41c4…3c7cbacked Yes | 73c | 678.61$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…67a9backed Yes | 77c | 675.74$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.21 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70de…db94backed Yes | 29c | 666.25$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.07 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Yes | 74c | 666$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 42c | 650$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.65 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -46%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed Yes | 67c | 650$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefb…935cbacked No | 30c | 613.36$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef5…689cbacked No | 29c | 605.54$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9b…a65ebacked Yes | 2c | 600$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +634.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x192d…7d47backed No | 13c | 593.53$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.54 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c0…156abacked No | 17c | 587.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1b…397bbacked Yes | 70c | 585.12$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump post 11-15 times this week?this page
- Will Trump post 1-10 times this week?No won
- Will Trump post 16-20 times this week?No won
- Will Trump post 21-25 times this week?No won
- Will Trump post 26-30 times this week?No won
- Will Trump post 31-35 times this week?No won
- Will Trump post 36-40 times this week?No won
- Will Trump post 41-45 times this week?No won
- Will Trump post 46-49 times this week?No won
- Will Trump post 50 or more times this week?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.