Tweets · resolved market
Will Trump post 50 or more times this week?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e4bec543ffb0739a08f222e32d1a0a07468fe57173e78cb2872cbe7df22e900
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $644,238
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $666,716
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $644,238 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12c0…7bd8backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8371…06febacked Yes | 8c | 45,711$3,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,691.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…c043backed Yes | 2c | 29,757$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.75 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 2c | 19,270$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.32 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f2…146ebacked Yes | 6c | 12,483$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 17c | 11,919$2,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.27 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +187%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6cc…31fdbacked Yes | 3c | 11,422$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.97 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7049…c20ebacked Yes | 9c | 10,742$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f8…60acbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…5e8dbacked Yes | 1c | 8,729$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe528…0f7fbacked Yes | 7c | 7,117$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a2…be38backed Yes | 51c | 5,919$3,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,019.62 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ee…a8aebacked Yes | 62c | 5,769$3,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,573.31 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -75%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked No | 40c | 5,726$2,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,453.83 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 15cpaid | +506.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed Yes | 27c | 5,577$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe13e…c564backed Yes | 12c | 4,542$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa357…1045backed Yes | 1c | 4,397$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.54 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9876…38e6backed Yes | 0c | 4,017$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -36%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed No | 70c | 3,923$2,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.45 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -84%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed Yes | 25c | 3,917$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.85 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 20cpaid | +76%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63f3…b6c8backed No | 39c | 3,037$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,863.62 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…a2d2backed Yes | 7c | 2,500$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…678cbacked No | 39c | 2,385$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Yes | 18c | 2,269$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.34 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf54e…fdc0backed No | 58c | 1,729$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Yes | 67c | 1,614$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 1c | 1,600$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d5…6f6abacked Yes | 1c | 1,500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1285…6a2fbacked Yes | 65c | 1,390$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed No | 41c | 1,320$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,298$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Yes | 1c | 1,081$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5322…237abacked Yes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bba…9b86backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6445…4ec0backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685e…bb41backed Yes | 4c | 945.73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.03 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…4ab8backed Yes | 59c | 845.99$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 62c | 840$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.46 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969a…bc10backed Yes | 36c | 828.01$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes | 57c | 730.95$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3743…e5b6backed No | 38c | 699.99$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 23cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ed…2ec2backed No | 37c | 675.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6880…8abebacked Yes | 47c | 670$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…67a9backed Yes | 62c | 650$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes | 22c | 568$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39e…e7c7backed Yes | 40c | 503.72$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed No | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +244.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5398…a652backed Yes | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa068…c1a7backed Yes | 67c | 446.37$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked No | 79c | 429.1$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb78e…30e3backed No | 42c | 409.25$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked Yes | 55c | 352.09$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.48 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9266…7562backed Yes | 63c | 345$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…dd9bbacked Yes | 60c | 321.95$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9b…a65ebacked No | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +634.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c8…8618backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…dcf4backed Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Yes | 20c | 250$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c6…b942backed Yes | 29c | 249.23$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e9…9f82backed Yes | 4c | 238.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8add…e083backed No | 39c | 230.77$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa071…d1d6backed Yes | 63c | 207.38$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5175…a4f6backed Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…f640backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7c…596cbacked Yes | 30c | 199.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…c433backed No | 78c | 191.72$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 59c | 179.57$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.08 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -62%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5895…1b71backed Yes | 54c | 170$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd400…aad6backed Yes | 64c | 157.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd142…4020backed No | 70c | 146.23$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360c…89bfbacked Yes | 52c | 140.88$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…50f5backed Yes | 62c | 120.48$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b73…4766backed Yes | 69c | 118$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70fa…196dbacked No | 68c | 104.55$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd1…ee93backed No | 74c | 102$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c23…088abacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…da18backed No | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +1,417.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…e0e8backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac5…0e69backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 35c | 84.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…b3febacked Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…0d5ebacked Yes | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2651…2e1cbacked No | 47c | 69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…14afbacked Yes | 59c | 68.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…4958backed No | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Yes | 57c | 63.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba3f…8b64backed Yes | 25c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe065…d25fbacked Yes | 61c | 50.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…7a45backed Yes | 64c | 50.01$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd1…0446backed No | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b2d5backed No | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d4…8035backed No | 41c | 49.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b3…aa17backed No | 38c | 44.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9f…2e3abacked Yes | 67c | 33.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…56d8backed No | 67c | 31.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb353…57fabacked Yes | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c91…b5ccbacked No | 78c | 20.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump post 50 or more times this week?this page
- Will Trump post 1-10 times this week?No won
- Will Trump post 11-15 times this week?Yes won
- Will Trump post 16-20 times this week?No won
- Will Trump post 21-25 times this week?No won
- Will Trump post 26-30 times this week?No won
- Will Trump post 31-35 times this week?No won
- Will Trump post 36-40 times this week?No won
- Will Trump post 41-45 times this week?No won
- Will Trump post 46-49 times this week?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.