Us Politics · resolved market
Will the EU impose tariffs on the U.S. before May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec85a1d9ccc50219a760b93f4004813fdf89d71218df2d07162181f1ad33d110
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $203,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $209,052
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x487c…7795backed No | 0c | 26,189$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.17 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc33…d2f0backed No | 6c | 6,217$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…81d1backed Yes | 47c | 6,085$2,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,232.02 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 10c | 5,001$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.82 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 26c | 4,551$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.86 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 80c | 3,733$2,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.03 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed No | 14c | 2,668$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.01 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked No | 75c | 2,439$1,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,825.9 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8866…dd1ebacked Yes | 63c | 2,425$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.55 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb78e…30e3backed No | 32c | 2,224$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.59 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad8e…709cbacked No | 60c | 2,168$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.28 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb29…625bbacked No | 29c | 2,072$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.97 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…022cbacked Yes | 30c | 1,835$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…92e0backed No | 16c | 1,576$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.79 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 72c | 1,480$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.2 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed Yes | 72c | 1,376$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.61 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2c…dc30backed Yes | 75c | 1,354$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.77 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a9…c417backed No | 19c | 1,347$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.6 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 24c | 1,345$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.42 | 184 | 45.1%83 W · 101 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed No | 19c | 1,301$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.23 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked No | 28c | 1,232$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.58 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed Yes | 75c | 1,100$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.04 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51cc…c6c9backed No | 2c | 1,095$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505d…f8c4backed Yes | 79c | 1,090$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a4…4cc7backed Yes | 68c | 1,055$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 34c | 1,045$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.57 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 27c | 936.43$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.1 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe085…5474backed No | 14c | 914.21$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.13 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 24c | 913.28$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.27 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 36c | 905.72$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.37 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Yes | 67c | 900$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe341…273bbacked No | 23c | 833.9$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.11 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc6…62e0backed Yes | 70c | 821.98$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.16 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 6c | 730.36$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.28 | 141 | 25.5%36 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 21c | 712.03$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.04 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 68c | 645.1$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.2 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 66c | 616.17$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.1 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked No | 34c | 615.12$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.46 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47df…2778backed No | 18c | 575.73$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71d3…0552backed Yes | 70c | 550.73$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed No | 22c | 545.97$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.11 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28d…1fb7backed Yes | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Yes | 64c | 490.58$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.16 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 18c | 478.21$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.25 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 15c | 434.36$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.91 | 135 | 25.9%35 W · 100 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked No | 17c | 425.94$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.74 | 138 | 18.1%25 W · 113 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…a551backed No | 62c | 419.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd94…b271backed Yes | 65c | 401.61$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.61 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 27c | 400.66$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.27 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.69 | 283 | 20.5%58 W · 225 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f3…3dadbacked No | 31c | 389.51$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0c…25dfbacked No | 25c | 385.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.29 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…8d2fbacked No | 21c | 381.9$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9961…adcbbacked No | 31c | 374.67$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.47 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d6…0489backed Yes | 72c | 370$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.7 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x580e…a1c4backed No | 24c | 367.85$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.81 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cb…27b3backed No | 18c | 367.78$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed No | 27c | 365.29$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.48 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ae…52edbacked Yes | 79c | 365$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed No | 20c | 359.04$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.61 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…8c48backed No | 26c | 355.83$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.38 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 72c | 349.55$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.93 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc26…24d0backed No | 74c | 337.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked No | 28c | 336.4$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.19 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5088…8844backed No | 11c | 325.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…d1d1backed Yes | 64c | 312.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.3 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed No | 19c | 300.16$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.15 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…1aa4backed Yes | 28c | 300$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…76f6backed No | 28c | 298.01$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.04 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f0…3213backed No | 34c | 297.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…8cc3backed No | 70c | 287.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x546d…e5cfbacked Yes | 77c | 285.2$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.98 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…79d0backed Yes | 67c | 274.92$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.72 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -6.0wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x304c…7a74backed No | 26c | 272.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x069f…b749backed No | 30c | 264.95$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 30c | 258.14$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.45 | 286 | 36.7%105 W · 181 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f8…d38dbacked No | 20c | 256.75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…b4a3backed Yes | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e20…ef1abacked Yes | 72c | 242.97$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf454…7eccbacked No | 16c | 240$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…baa2backed Yes | 30c | 225.05$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.54 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…106abacked Yes | 52c | 223.39$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.6 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…ec66backed No | 18c | 220.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0533…cf1cbacked Yes | 72c | 220$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 28c | 217.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.46 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4815…a1afbacked No | 20c | 214.1$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x956f…e875backed Yes | 77c | 213.19$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 58cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x739a…096bbacked No | 17c | 209.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed No | 22c | 209.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 119 | 18.5%22 W · 97 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 24c | 201$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaa…7d99backed No | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…92c6backed Yes | 59c | 193.85$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.99 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13ca…00b9backed No | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7737…e497backed Yes | 80c | 186$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.9 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed No | 29c | 185.94$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.56 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked No | 40c | 184.44$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.33 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed No | 15c | 182.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc68…47bdbacked No | 70c | 176.85$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.76 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.