World Politics · resolved market
Canada election called before April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0001fc97aa9b65190d6fec2ac6accb0dedcf823b5848b321560ca14c159893b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,074,404
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,019,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,074,404 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 455 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x863f…8775backed No | 11c | 64,264$7,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,212.75 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2e…09c8backed No | 17c | 61,037$10,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,376.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…157fbacked No | 22c | 53,180$11,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,699.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd5…2a3fbacked Yes | 78c | 53,180$41,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,699.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc282…0c5fbacked No | 25c | 35,042$8,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,856.98 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 36c | 23,018$8,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,311 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 1c | 22,873$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.03 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26a4…084ebacked No | 29c | 20,500$5,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,945 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…c855backed No | 13c | 19,000$2,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,530 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 22c | 17,668$3,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,936.16 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 15c | 17,287$2,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,593.22 | 206 | 14.6%30 W · 176 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f4…bc4fbacked Yes | 78c | 16,055$12,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,535.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 31c | 14,394$4,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,517.38 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked No | 36c | 14,153$5,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,146.57 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…62abbacked No | 27c | 13,168$3,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,509.41 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -5.6wins | -0.25per pick | 44cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…4d01backed Yes | 74c | 12,953$9,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,363.22 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -71%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3e…476dbacked No | 29c | 11,897$3,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,410.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 27c | 10,897$2,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,979.69 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b6…9b04backed Yes | 71c | 10,300$7,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,987 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e61…57d2backed Yes | 71c | 10,200$7,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,958 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…0669backed No | 14c | 9,230$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc1…341cbacked No | 17c | 9,013$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…54d6backed No | 24c | 8,606$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.24 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked No | 25c | 8,546$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,144.65 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaf…376abacked No | 2c | 8,461$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…e4eebacked Yes | 61c | 8,203$5,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,197.85 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked No | 11c | 7,925$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.08 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a61…2c6bbacked No | 29c | 7,716$2,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220.96 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 4c | 7,710$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.28 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…6a1cbacked No | 14c | 7,539$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.8 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf43a…cafcbacked No | 0c | 6,649$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e3…c075backed No | 37c | 6,357$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,370.1 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 37c | 6,119$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.87 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked No | 30c | 5,843$1,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,772.81 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5983…64a8backed Yes | 61c | 5,513$3,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,152.45 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked No | 20c | 5,100$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 29c | 4,842$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.19 | 192 | 37.5%72 W · 120 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1518…7812backed No | 13c | 4,664$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.02 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…2339backed No | 23c | 4,502$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked No | 22c | 4,329$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.37 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8182…7cf5backed No | 29c | 4,259$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.12 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Yes | 61c | 4,104$2,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.03 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb36…09f3backed No | 15c | 4,083$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +180.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde3b…6e42backed No | 50c | 3,924$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe71c…dcecbacked No | 2c | 3,905$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed No | 25c | 3,864$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.69 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf41…1587backed No | 31c | 3,858$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.36 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf4…7021backed Yes | 74c | 3,654$2,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.79 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfb…86d5backed Yes | 56c | 3,541$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.06 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5838…3636backed Yes | 73c | 3,392$2,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.11 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 32c | 3,368$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.77 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +291.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 73c | 3,185$2,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.01 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bed…f347backed No | 25c | 3,019$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.82 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc93…37b1backed Yes | 69c | 2,951$2,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…de08backed Yes | 70c | 2,920$2,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91d2…8f47backed No | 34c | 2,698$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.58 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…ea5abacked Yes | 75c | 2,679$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.72 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 36c | 2,663$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.01 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a86…a0d7backed No | 39c | 2,587$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 25c | 2,575$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.26 | 180 | 36.7%66 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed Yes | 77c | 2,568$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.59 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe91b…c413backed No | 47c | 2,553$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…55e6backed Yes | 63c | 2,537$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.72 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb88…0e56backed Yes | 59c | 2,475$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.92 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +287.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…1594backed No | 12c | 2,326$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.17 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 66c | 2,289$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.11 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed9…febfbacked Yes | 66c | 2,284$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.81 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd55e…462cbacked No | 13c | 2,278$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked No | 14c | 2,261$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.8 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 59c | 2,260$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.58 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…890cbacked No | 28c | 2,225$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.02 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x716f…9798backed No | 39c | 2,158$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…dc58backed No | 4c | 2,154$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…00c7backed Yes | 63c | 2,147$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.93 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb366…22e8backed Yes | 76c | 2,139$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…9b16backed No | 5c | 2,060$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e53…cc49backed No | 32c | 2,036$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.48 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -79%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…8f8bbacked No | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc900…4faebacked Yes | 76c | 1,950$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 15c | 1,929$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.7 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4664…3f80backed Yes | 72c | 1,920$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…e2d3backed No | 38c | 1,903$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…0245backed No | 18c | 1,900$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f4…dbfebacked No | 25c | 1,894$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.79 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa4…2419backed No | 30c | 1,857$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa39…822ebacked No | 19c | 1,837$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed No | 26c | 1,794$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.29 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…aa35backed Yes | 67c | 1,753$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.54 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84dd…8701backed Yes | 70c | 1,740$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.37 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28de…a1fdbacked No | 25c | 1,655$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.16 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…48cfbacked No | 23c | 1,575$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…7a45backed Yes | 76c | 1,563$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.18 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 15c | 1,505$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.46 | 123 | 32.5%40 W · 83 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 75c | 1,483$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.13 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed No | 24c | 1,450$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.94 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked No | 2c | 1,423$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 78 | 6.4%5 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb14a…1986backed No | 7c | 1,394$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…567bbacked No | 11c | 1,330$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.19per pick | 18cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…1322backed Yes | 80c | 1,300$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 15c | 1,294$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.37 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.