Champions League · resolved market
Will Benfica beat Bayern Munich?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdd97bf429ad7931e43f3de7a292e9e6160a1898e19954577e3d45fedb467bdf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $188,167
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $209,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,167 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Yes | 49c | 15,395$7,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,809.47 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 75c | 11,749$8,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,808.09 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed No | 22c | 10,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.99 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +81%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked Yes | 26c | 8,267$2,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,122.86 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4207…0d4ebacked No | 77c | 7,050$5,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,428.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Yes | 27c | 6,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,380.1 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…f1f8backed Yes | 28c | 5,823$1,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,215.9 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 22c | 5,531$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,288.46 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 51c | 5,159$2,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,531.32 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e77…cb47backed No | 71c | 4,800$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 45c | 4,082$1,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.95 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 73c | 3,837$2,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,783.79 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 32c | 3,766$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.36 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yes | 38c | 3,553$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,216.25 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Yes | 45c | 3,490$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8771…aba3backed Yes | 68c | 3,080$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fc…b576backed Yes | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250.1 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked No | 77c | 2,640$2,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,032.8 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes | 61c | 2,550$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 77c | 2,500$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.99 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Yes | 28c | 2,275$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.76 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 64c | 2,000$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 53c | 1,498$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.29 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…fa49backed No | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Yes | 31c | 1,112$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.17 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…6fe4backed No | 54c | 1,110$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.4 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed No | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked No | 57c | 1,057$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Yes | 24c | 1,010$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Yes | 26c | 1,003$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.06 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x030c…521bbacked No | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 28c | 951$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.23 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 50c | 896.36$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.18 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…7465backed Yes | 44c | 872.72$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.92 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.33 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 23c | 800$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 48c | 700.33$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.66 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed No | 38c | 699.99$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9f…59f3backed No | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a6…aac8backed No | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…783ebacked No | 78c | 638.58$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.09 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 54c | 554$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.24 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked No | 76c | 526.32$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed No | 78c | 521.79$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -6.7wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…7effbacked No | 79c | 500$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 41c | 450$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.5 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 24c | 404.25$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.23 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…0d3fbacked No | 78c | 402.15$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.45 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Yes | 23c | 387$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.99 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked No | 26c | 373.42$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.91 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked No | 55c | 362.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe085…5474backed Yes | 64c | 312.93$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.93 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a25…2a5fbacked No | 59c | 305.25$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c0…21febacked No | 40c | 300.1$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.76 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed No | 76c | 298.68$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 159 | 66.7%106 W · 53 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed No | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked No | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6955…41e9backed Yes | 23c | 261.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.3 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked No | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked No | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.9 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed No | 56c | 222.18$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.85 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…d0c5backed Yes | 28c | 214.29$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.29 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 24c | 209.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.96 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ef…b4d9backed Yes | 78c | 207.69$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.69 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…82a3backed Yes | 25c | 200$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8c…b6b1backed No | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf007…10b4backed No | 49c | 170$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Yes | 39c | 162.67$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.71 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x144f…752abacked Yes | 78c | 148.96$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed No | 30c | 147.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3282…7716backed Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d2…6031backed No | 79c | 132$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.28 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +70%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Yes | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 67.5%139 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked No | 13c | 112$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Yes | 25c | 112$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 78c | 104.36$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ab…13abbacked Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…416dbacked Yes | 73c | 104.11$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 78c | 102.56$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…e35dbacked Yes | 59c | 101.17$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 111 | 32.4%36 W · 75 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe37c…1d68backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +48%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…ce1ebacked Yes | 63c | 95.4$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653c…a02abacked Yes | 51c | 90.19$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.19 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…e866backed No | 48c | 82.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -7.7wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -57%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 34c | 71.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 160 | 36.9%59 W · 101 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5270…4c8bbacked Yes | 75c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d26…95aebacked No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…f9b4backed No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.04 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…3e7ebacked No | 40c | 59.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked No | 75c | 56.57$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.43 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8e…c096backed No | 79c | 55.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa896…e5c1backed No | 75c | 55$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Yes | 20c | 54.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Yes | 33c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked No | 49c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 155 | 38.1%59 W · 96 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Benfica beat Bayern Munich?this page
- Will Bayern Munich beat Benfica?No won
- Will Benfica vs. Bayern Munich end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.