Champions League · resolved market
Will Bayern Munich beat Benfica?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3dc9e9b25512d67561862dd7d199f6e9e49fd933141afb6ca576df099d27a711
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $311,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $305,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $311,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed No | 53c | 74,638$39,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,080.03 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 47c | 59,054$27,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,826.39 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 44c | 30,506$13,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,417.93 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 52c | 30,121$15,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,360.39 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 54c | 23,449$12,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,790.27 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 50c | 18,459$9,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,189.86 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 46c | 17,761$8,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,122.87 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 80c | 12,848$10,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,569.69 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 32c | 11,500$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 106 | 31.1%33 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Yes | 50c | 11,365$5,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,682.36 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…7654backed Yes | 41c | 11,328$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 71c | 11,099$7,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,256.44 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 57c | 7,789$4,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,358.47 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 2c | 7,502$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.93 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f7…ef96backed Yes | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.44per pick | 61cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 53c | 6,147$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,897.82 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed No | 52c | 5,448$2,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,593.95 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 54c | 5,308$2,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,440.62 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 58c | 5,300$3,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201 | 204 | 62.3%127 W · 77 L | +19.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Yes | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 45c | 4,608$2,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,073.6 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 54c | 4,464$2,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,036.65 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 71c | 3,859$2,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.07 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…f137backed Yes | 31c | 3,456$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Yes | 40c | 3,087$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked No | 52c | 2,629$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.92 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 52c | 2,232$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.23 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed No | 68c | 2,081$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.98 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Yes | 36c | 2,058$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 50c | 2,050$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x651d…6f4dbacked Yes | 49c | 2,000$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 25c | 1,781$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.49 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 52c | 1,751$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.95 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d57…a418backed Yes | 47c | 1,561$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe62c…342ebacked Yes | 51c | 1,372$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 49c | 1,360$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.61 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf094…6fd5backed Yes | 47c | 1,313$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…6133backed Yes | 48c | 1,231$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.88 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 33c | 1,200$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.9 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Yes | 45c | 1,164$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.5 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Yes | 29c | 1,084$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.65 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Yes | 53c | 1,068$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5c…e309backed Yes | 30c | 1,064$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.69 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed No | 50c | 1,062$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.87 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 52c | 1,004$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.89 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e1…0492backed No | 52c | 960$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x030c…521bbacked Yes | 46c | 932.61$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed No | 52c | 878.94$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.22 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f24…f47bbacked Yes | 47c | 851.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.24 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61cf…3c52backed Yes | 47c | 850$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 37c | 818.26$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 52c | 799.97$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.98 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked No | 53c | 765$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.55 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Yes | 33c | 739.84$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae55…41c0backed Yes | 38c | 708$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c2…4074backed Yes | 48c | 685.16$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…bb1cbacked Yes | 48c | 665$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…5f5bbacked Yes | 46c | 664.35$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…d0c5backed Yes | 43c | 653.28$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed No | 52c | 600$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…43febacked Yes | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed No | 73c | 597.86$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.38 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Yes | 48c | 557.16$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed No | 52c | 532$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.36 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Yes | 49c | 512.04$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.9 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…f1f8backed Yes | 14c | 504.63$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.65 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d1…8c4dbacked Yes | 48c | 502$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.96 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 51c | 501.95$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.89 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 52c | 470$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.04 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Yes | 48c | 446.76$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.37 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8771…aba3backed Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed No | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…6fe4backed Yes | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Yes | 49c | 373.55$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.04 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked Yes | 41c | 369.13$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x828f…fa80backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 70c | 351.66$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…ff2abacked Yes | 35c | 335.37$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 30c | 330.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01ff…b1d1backed Yes | 48c | 330$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 55c | 328$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.2 | 111 | 32.4%36 W · 75 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Yes | 20c | 321$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.17 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacaf…abaabacked Yes | 41c | 305.72$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Yes | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +363.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…7e3abacked Yes | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8965…fda0backed Yes | 33c | 258.25$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.65 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 240 | 47.1%113 W · 127 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa762…33b0backed Yes | 27c | 228.5$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…cda5backed Yes | 49c | 228.39$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…b9cdbacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…2db3backed Yes | 26c | 216.12$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed No | 52c | 215$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x212a…dbe8backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayern Munich beat Benfica?this page
- Will Benfica beat Bayern Munich?Yes won
- Will Benfica vs. Bayern Munich end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.