Us Politics · resolved market
Will DOGE audit Fort Knox before May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fab8c77a1c6eeceb91935e9e4532a3cf9dddc91e7409e46d7cb91eed195e334
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $321,392
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $341,143
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $321,392 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2929…d0d5backed Yes | 71c | 51,120$36,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,295.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1699…80e2backed No | 29c | 51,120$14,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,295.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa64…7643backed No | 30c | 40,441$12,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,308.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d4…bdfebacked Yes | 70c | 40,441$28,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,308.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Yes | 36c | 14,270$5,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,107.2 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed No | 63c | 11,332$7,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,182.85 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18c…d678backed Yes | 74c | 8,564$6,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,371.83 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 24c | 4,228$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,197.95 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed No | 47c | 4,226$1,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,259.24 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 60c | 3,792$2,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,267.76 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 72c | 3,019$2,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.57 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 69c | 2,622$1,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,796.44 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Yes | 47c | 2,330$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.09 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d13…a018backed No | 35c | 2,105$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.37 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…f36cbacked No | 57c | 2,066$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8933…1495backed No | 44c | 2,010$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.69 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b5…6950backed Yes | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 56c | 1,959$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.68 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe81…5fe9backed Yes | 70c | 1,685$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.63 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…aa35backed Yes | 54c | 1,583$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.13 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 64c | 1,467$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.68 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed No | 35c | 1,427$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.67 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed No | 74c | 1,375$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.72 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed Yes | 20c | 1,332$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.93 | 148 | 19.6%29 W · 119 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…e599backed Yes | 22c | 1,252$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.26 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fff…c9dabacked Yes | 5c | 1,249$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.96 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…f8c4backed Yes | 7c | 1,015$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…d918backed No | 39c | 971.72$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.14 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 45c | 815.6$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.09 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 68c | 795.44$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.06 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2582…a015backed Yes | 76c | 747.5$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.95 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5771…fe1abacked Yes | 67c | 741.03$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 45c | 725.21$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.9 | 141 | 25.5%36 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb83a…2a7ebacked Yes | 27c | 703.7$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…a6a0backed Yes | 26c | 700$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed Yes | 57c | 699.99$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8178…32d8backed No | 39c | 635.94$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.08 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes | 64c | 590.42$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.94 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd94…b271backed No | 32c | 563.11$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.01 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 50c | 553.5$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.73 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…1da2backed No | 63c | 550$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.45 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745c…22bcbacked Yes | 74c | 540.54$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 26c | 531.26$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.13 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 73c | 527$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.52 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6b…ded8backed Yes | 72c | 497.52$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7d…e3e1backed No | 34c | 495.16$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.81 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 63c | 482$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.62 | 193 | 28.5%55 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x648c…09c6backed No | 53c | 450$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe085…5474backed No | 42c | 429.55$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.81 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3366…e5bebacked No | 47c | 424.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3b…3ad8backed No | 44c | 423$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…bc3dbacked No | 70c | 416.22$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.18 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xded5…d9cabacked No | 24c | 400$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…46d6backed Yes | 5c | 382$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…2aa7backed Yes | 45c | 350$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.75 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…1b93backed Yes | 57c | 349.22$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked No | 38c | 322.09$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.09 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 26c | 322.03$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.78 | 151 | 24.5%37 W · 114 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde26…0972backed Yes | 68c | 319.12$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.25 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 39c | 308.73$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.6 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 55c | 300$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.4 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed Yes | 53c | 284.92$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.3 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 66c | 283$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.91 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x878b…171ebacked No | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed Yes | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 36c | 253.74$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.37 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd713…4662backed Yes | 27c | 246.38$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.48 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…4525backed No | 65c | 232.9$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.23 | 144 | 60.4%87 W · 57 L | +16.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…9bb6backed Yes | 46c | 223.92$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.09 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3762…7ff4backed No | 47c | 212.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.55 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -5.2wins | -0.28per pick | 64cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x24ed…9f94backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef43…7b62backed Yes | 50c | 201.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 152 | 27.6%42 W · 110 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf85b…5663backed Yes | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ad…959cbacked No | 38c | 200$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…18f6backed No | 36c | 199$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.36 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb4…21c1backed Yes | 67c | 198$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.23 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 33c | 183$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.7 | 170 | 21.2%36 W · 134 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f77…a9a9backed Yes | 6c | 180$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed No | 19c | 180$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.8 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 29c | 176.06$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.68 | 365 | 27.1%99 W · 266 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x650d…c383backed Yes | 45c | 168.35$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…97d2backed No | 23c | 167.62$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.89 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked No | 30c | 166$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.2 | 148 | 43.2%64 W · 84 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 33c | 163.09$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.32 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb6…9b85backed Yes | 46c | 161.46$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf422…6743backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -6.5wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc743…44d8backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -57%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked Yes | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Yes | 70c | 148.58$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.36 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5651…66a6backed Yes | 72c | 147.78$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 53c | 145.52$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.41 | 318 | 40.3%128 W · 190 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed No | 48c | 145.2$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 219 | 35.2%77 W · 142 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bac…f238backed No | 33c | 142.8$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…3a10backed No | 31c | 142.65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +63%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c3…4129backed Yes | 71c | 140.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13c2…0403backed No | 22c | 140$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 65c | 138$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 168 | 54.8%92 W · 76 L | +22.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.