MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf26b46b3b66c819b5108e1078a1a5e81300c0aa5eb8dc7595d576ea123ebb767
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof Pittsburgh Pirates, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,124,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,188,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,124,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 413 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d4f…e5f3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 181,006$97,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,743.1 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Cincinnati Reds | 69c | 133,028$92,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,900.57 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 88,888$48,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,999.52 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 75,000$34,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,499.99 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 35c | 74,803$26,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,181.13 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 72,469$43,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,230.24 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe54…41d6backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 45,174$26,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,975.05 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb71b…3c07backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 43,672$20,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,582.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 43,480$16,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,718.65 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 40,000$18,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,599.89 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 37,396$17,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,193.93 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Cincinnati Reds | 66c | 25,863$16,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,870.41 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32d2…8850backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 27c | 24,526$6,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,679.71 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 28c | 23,269$6,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,489.72 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,800 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 36c | 19,939$7,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,205.73 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ca…c219backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 17,291$7,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,332.01 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 35c | 13,951$4,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,884.97 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 12,963$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 11,650$4,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,831.02 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfc…bf06backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 10,870$5,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,869.8 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4e…e5b7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 10,643$5,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,747.25 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +5.9wins | +0.39per pick | 47cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc638…43b4backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 10,638$4,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,744.37 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 9,976$6,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,019.88 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 36c | 8,650$3,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,086.02 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 7,965$3,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,517.06 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 7,657$3,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,134.89 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…7e2ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 7,550$4,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,983.03 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…eb76backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 74c | 7,078$5,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,265.53 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e0…9970backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 6,875$2,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,021.88 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x833a…3167backed Cincinnati Reds | 65c | 6,186$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,185.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 5,432$3,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,091.28 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…a888backed Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 4,497$2,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 4,478$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,418 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…c372backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 32c | 4,235$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.24 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 4,035$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,421 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +16.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 35c | 3,966$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.25 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 3,922$2,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,018.49 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 22c | 3,868$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.76 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 3,212$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.76 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 3,133$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.82 | 208 | 45.2%94 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 0c | 3,076$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8707…8b15backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 2,979$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.72 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 2,759$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,765.62 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 22c | 2,255$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.57 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b8…aa04backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 2,077$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 1,926$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.85 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 1,911$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.03 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 1,900$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.99 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…fd2ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 1,722$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.86 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 35c | 1,706$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.89 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Cincinnati Reds | 14c | 1,655$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.48 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 23c | 1,568$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.76 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c95…10f5backed Cincinnati Reds | 66c | 1,364$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.64 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -34%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…2cb8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 1,308$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.48 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 1,295$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.86 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 1,226$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.54 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 25c | 1,177$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.44 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 1,105$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 36c | 1,092$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.39 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 1,086$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.83 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 1,084$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.4 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 24c | 1,074$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.76 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 3c | 1,046$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Cincinnati Reds | 65c | 1,014$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.68 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Cincinnati Reds | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 114 | 64%73 W · 41 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 30c | 981.9$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.24 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 948.57$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.97 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c2…63d8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Cincinnati Reds | 75c | 923.5$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.83 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…1840backed Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 874.33$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.42 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 832.84$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.26 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 828.37$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.77 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6693…8374backed Cincinnati Reds | 64c | 819.7$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.09 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc279…6465backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 739.26$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.81 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 725.18$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.1 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 31c | 623.04$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.3 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf221…649fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 609.15$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.59 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 601.85$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 220 | 55.5%122 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 34c | 599.99$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.99 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 583$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.27 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d1…52c5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 546.3$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 19c | 531.32$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.85 | 305 | 29.8%91 W · 214 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 515$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.1 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de3…26fdbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 22c | 503.31$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.02 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228e…4f84backed Cincinnati Reds | 30c | 500$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 39cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 495.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.16 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 480.16$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.01 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 469.56$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.58 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16ad…b33bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 448.21$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.05 | 119 | 69.7%83 W · 36 L | +18.2wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…37c8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 68c | 442.59$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.96 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 12.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 13.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati RedsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.