TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Colorado Rockiesof Kansas City Royals, Colorado Rockies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$201,996
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$213,233

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,996 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Kansas City Royals51c59,476$30,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,332.951,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Colorado Rockies49c27,000$13,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,769.9977053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Kansas City Royals50c18,500$9,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,2503432.4%11 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Colorado Rockies52c16,092$8,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,733.8810,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Colorado Rockies50c14,000$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,0001,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Kansas City Royals10c9,812$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.0811,35652.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L+209.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Kansas City Royals50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00075248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Kansas City Royals16c4,750$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.6721242%89 W · 123 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Kansas City Royals13c4,495$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.482,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd47d…322bbacked Kansas City Royals50c4,300$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,15013552.6%71 W · 64 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Colorado Rockies70c3,691$2,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.3895045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Colorado Rockies49c3,235$1,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.8520845.2%94 W · 114 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Colorado Rockies49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5301,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fc0…847dbacked Kansas City Royals37c2,582$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.37042.9%30 W · 40 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kansas City Royals50c2,528$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,263.895,40050.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L+17.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Kansas City Royals8c2,485$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.860043.3%260 W · 340 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Kansas City Royals7c2,422$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.571,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Colorado Rockies76c2,047$1,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.418,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Colorado Rockies75c1,967$1,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.5179442.4%337 W · 457 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Colorado Rockies49c1,365$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.121,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Colorado Rockies74c1,158$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.5857758.1%335 W · 242 L+28.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6319…d371backed Kansas City Royals51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5102857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Colorado Rockies51c938.41$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.4117961.5%110 W · 69 L+16.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Kansas City Royals46c847.83$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3909828.6%28 W · 70 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Kansas City Royals50c832.02$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.013,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Colorado Rockies51c800$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3925,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb5…d57abacked Kansas City Royals49c779.62$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.0121644.9%97 W · 119 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Kansas City Royals32c742.43$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.564,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Colorado Rockies49c730.97$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.352,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb68…4ef3backed Kansas City Royals36c642.69$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.375543.6%24 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Colorado Rockies63c633.52$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.415851.9%82 W · 76 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6865…6033backed Colorado Rockies47c586$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.583259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Kansas City Royals14c531.61$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.5317047.1%80 W · 90 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Kansas City Royals27c521.17$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.628,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f87…b872backed Kansas City Royals40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Kansas City Royals43c465.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006942%29 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Kansas City Royals14c453.43$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.292,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Kansas City Royals51c449.51$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.251,05150.4%530 W · 521 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8411…b4c4backed Kansas City Royals51c393.02$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.446454.7%35 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d98…fe98backed Kansas City Royals51c343.14$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1758155.6%45 W · 36 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68cb…0000backed Colorado Rockies77c340.52$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.8648660.5%294 W · 192 L+40.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Kansas City Royals53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1591,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3783…171dbacked Kansas City Royals41c299.98$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.9911549.6%57 W · 58 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Kansas City Royals48c293.42$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.8477647.4%368 W · 408 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked Colorado Rockies65c282.73$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.9824252.9%128 W · 114 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Kansas City Royals14c279.17$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.891,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Colorado Rockies50c278.94$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.4789153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8fe…b0a4backed Kansas City Royals36c278.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.412850%14 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Kansas City Royals13c265$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4552053.8%280 W · 240 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Kansas City Royals29c264.78$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5334952.7%184 W · 165 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4cf…0e95backed Colorado Rockies49c250$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.513946.8%65 W · 74 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2465…5d84backed Colorado Rockies77c249$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.61,09979.7%876 W · 223 L+33.4wins+0.03per pick77cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Kansas City Royals15c210.28$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5421841.3%90 W · 128 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081f…3040backed Kansas City Royals46c208.37$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+35.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Kansas City Royals21c207.06$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6330529.8%91 W · 214 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Kansas City Royals51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10244949.2%221 W · 228 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Colorado Rockies50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9278…9a1bbacked Colorado Rockies50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10013057.7%75 W · 55 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…02ccbacked Colorado Rockies49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10224246.7%113 W · 129 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8de3…26fdbacked Kansas City Royals30c197.35$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602626.9%7 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbd7…1c4fbacked Kansas City Royals51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008058.8%47 W · 33 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c39…037fbacked Kansas City Royals51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005846.6%27 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Kansas City Royals8c195.75$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.662,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Kansas City Royals50c195.1$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5551547%242 W · 273 L+1.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3f8…e0b1backed Kansas City Royals36c194.44$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7012333.3%41 W · 82 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals50c194.3$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.976,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7c2…63d8backed Kansas City Royals52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005955.9%33 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Colorado Rockies49c186.2$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.961,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9d…a555backed Kansas City Royals51c169.82$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.613458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Kansas City Royals43c160.79$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.663,45651.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L+107.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8160…f1e7backed Kansas City Royals33c142.73$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Colorado Rockies74c138.36$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.960348.6%293 W · 310 L-1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd2c…97c2backed Kansas City Royals17c129.41$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229117.6%16 W · 75 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Colorado Rockies73c121.81$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.264,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x718f…f25abacked Kansas City Royals25c119.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306325.4%16 W · 47 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-40%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6eb…8ecabacked Kansas City Royals37c108.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+84.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc830…4d75backed Kansas City Royals13c106.46$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8415241.4%63 W · 89 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ed2…0ddabacked Kansas City Royals51c102.56$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3157747.7%275 W · 302 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36f4…0eb2backed Kansas City Royals51c101.98$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0185949.1%422 W · 437 L-3.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e3…46a2backed Kansas City Royals51c101.98$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.016555.4%36 W · 29 L-0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Kansas City Royals24c101.65$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.054,47748.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L-47.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47f6…b051backed Colorado Rockies50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5017346.2%80 W · 93 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x920b…fcfbbacked Kansas City Royals51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5116648.8%81 W · 85 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab61…fb2bbacked Kansas City Royals51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508647.7%41 W · 45 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Kansas City Royals51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5034255.3%189 W · 153 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Colorado Rockies70c97.25$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3455448.2%267 W · 287 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Kansas City Royals27c81.63$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.911,14043%490 W · 650 L-37.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e28…625cbacked Colorado Rockies50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4021464%137 W · 77 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb5da…5fb9backed Kansas City Royals51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408556.5%48 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9538…96f4backed Kansas City Royals51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407754.5%42 W · 35 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e87…91cbbacked Kansas City Royals51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408055%44 W · 36 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…3487backed Kansas City Royals51c77.94$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.753959%23 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bf1…b5afbacked Colorado Rockies46c77$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.586036.7%22 W · 38 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb9f…a6c0backed Kansas City Royals17c75.18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.782352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4810…9802backed Kansas City Royals51c67.86$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.618355.4%46 W · 37 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32a7…a84bbacked Kansas City Royals22c67.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.25534.5%19 W · 36 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad54…006abacked Colorado Rockies62c65.23$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7958060.5%351 W · 229 L+30.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Colorado Rockies66c64.86$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0539739.5%157 W · 240 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb994…fad1backed Kansas City Royals39c64.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255952.5%31 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Colorado Rockies78c63.44$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.131,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.