Tennis · resolved market
ITF Ourense: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Rina Saigo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc15eafd81aff4ac186c1bd8d0f2ae38d6c9a1b911ee7141ff7ab73f6ceceefc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sonja Zhiyenbayevaof Sonja Zhiyenbayeva, Rina Saigo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 67c | 6,466$4,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142.13 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa3…e22bbacked Rina Saigo | 28c | 3,518$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Rina Saigo | 4c | 2,604$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.68 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Rina Saigo | 39c | 2,353$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.6 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 75c | 1,771$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.98 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Rina Saigo | 42c | 1,116$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.65 | 221 | 52%115 W · 106 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 49c | 1,079$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.55 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Rina Saigo | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 251 | 44.6%112 W · 139 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Rina Saigo | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 465 | 51.2%238 W · 227 L | -23.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Rina Saigo | 14c | 760.56$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 78c | 683.01$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.56 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Rina Saigo | 38c | 672.94$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.66 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e59…6019backed Rina Saigo | 32c | 585.65$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.41 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…fb10backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 51c | 470.59$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.59 | 452 | 56.2%254 W · 198 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3144…9502backed Rina Saigo | 39c | 392$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.68 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 70c | 377.02$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.45 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Rina Saigo | 12c | 335$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Rina Saigo | 51c | 308.5$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.34 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 75c | 307.11$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.91 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Rina Saigo | 51c | 275.37$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.44 | 873 | 37.1%324 W · 549 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 72c | 229.28$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…7833backed Rina Saigo | 20c | 200.23$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 151 | 15.9%24 W · 127 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Rina Saigo | 10c | 163.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Rina Saigo | 18c | 140.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…9cfbbacked Rina Saigo | 51c | 138.3$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.53 | 357 | 47.9%171 W · 186 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Rina Saigo | 37c | 131.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…cc93backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 75c | 129.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.25per pick | 43cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdd…db30backed Rina Saigo | 25c | 124$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 187 | 24.6%46 W · 141 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 72c | 123.84$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…5858backed Rina Saigo | 19c | 118.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 230 | 30.4%70 W · 160 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Rina Saigo | 37c | 115.92$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.65 | 425 | 46.4%197 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Rina Saigo | 28c | 107.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 49c | 101.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.13 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Rina Saigo | 35c | 99.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 80c | 98.21$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 355 | 58.6%208 W · 147 L | +19.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb2…ee14backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 68c | 84.45$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Rina Saigo | 38c | 82.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 375 | 47.2%177 W · 198 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…1369backed Rina Saigo | 12c | 82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 74c | 66.18$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Rina Saigo | 49c | 64.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Rina Saigo | 34c | 59.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Rina Saigo | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…527bbacked Rina Saigo | 26c | 53.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 215 | 63.3%136 W · 79 L | +18.0wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 45c | 52.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 568 | 27.3%155 W · 413 L | +23.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Rina Saigo | 51c | 52.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 75c | 50.07$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x083c…65f2backed Rina Saigo | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…5fdebacked Rina Saigo | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 243 | 44%107 W · 136 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa519…e0b2backed Rina Saigo | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe35…6789backed Rina Saigo | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Rina Saigo | 39c | 39.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 252 | 50.4%127 W · 125 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Rina Saigo | 49c | 38.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…413abacked Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd16f…9713backed Rina Saigo | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 69c | 31.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 48c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 327 | 47.7%156 W · 171 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 61c | 28.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Rina Saigo | 39c | 27.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 1,226 | 52%637 W · 589 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Rina Saigo | 37c | 27.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 73c | 27.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 351 | 64.7%227 W · 124 L | +20.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x633b…e80bbacked Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 56c | 26.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 553 | 47.6%263 W · 290 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…93f9backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 73c | 16.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 76c | 14.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.42 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.