TailMyPicks
Market

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-04-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,717
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,435

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,717 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No52c4,656$2,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,211.9198844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes46c4,190$1,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,945.191323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-44.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes64c3,715$2,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,367.313049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes46c3,431$1,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,578.264148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed Yes52c3,245$1,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,681.114060.7%85 W · 55 L+19.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No51c2,912$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,427.252763%17 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed Yes77c2,880$2,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,213.9580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+131.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes47c2,859$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,332.5724732.4%80 W · 167 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed No56c2,555$1,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.69933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-34.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes42c2,139$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.491533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Yes46c2,104$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.591643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes48c2,018$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.8933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No54c1,600$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.782568%17 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No54c1,585$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.774450%22 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked No42c1,522$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.026129.5%18 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked No29c1,500$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.972520%5 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-46.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes56c1,268$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.613641.7%15 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-33.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No36c1,041$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.852133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes52c1,032$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.896435.9%23 W · 41 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Yes4c1,013$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.892213.6%3 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick30cpaid-75.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6945…873dbacked No58c1,009$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.21250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32df…cce8backed Yes44c999.72$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.871145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes47c991.21$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.874341.9%18 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed No50c966.97$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.541435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid+18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb8…a6fabacked No52c935.18$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Yes65c754.15$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.964233.3%14 W · 28 L-6.0wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-34.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes47c670.77$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.73737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes10c655.48$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8710633%35 W · 71 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No53c631.69$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.8910757.9%62 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Yes47c618$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.4620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No54c601.78$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.0414047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes46c593.15$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.7747850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed No53c550.08$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.547435.1%26 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6af…b5efbacked No55c534.01$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No53c523.22$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.4616858.3%98 W · 70 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No38c500$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3104928.6%14 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+47.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ac…5018backed Yes46c464.44$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.831338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x369a…09a5backed No54c435.3$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.242100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Yes46c421.41$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.513938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes46c420.86$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.523836.8%14 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked No39c412.59$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.961526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-45.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes47c412$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.643951.3%20 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes49c404.3$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.111546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No40c400.16$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.123551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes34c394.81$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.313354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No54c388.96$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.922263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed No54c358.35$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked No71c353.9$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.151450%7 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed No29c346.34$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.9875%6 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+77.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes48c343.12$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.71346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes55c334.12$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.2414843.9%65 W · 83 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde1d…c645backed No37c325.07$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.79540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d3e…986cbacked Yes45c324.21$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.03540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes45c322.33$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.055048%24 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No56c313.44$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.9143748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No65c304.8$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6511063.6%70 W · 40 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed No52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes71c293.88$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.535352.8%28 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No54c291.72$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.193063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No54c291.72$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.192766.7%18 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No54c291.72$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.192864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed No78c279.65$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.591283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.7wins+0.31per pick53cpaid+48.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xeca1…3d96backed No37c260.54$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.32560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+44.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70dc…1317backed No37c260.38$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.17966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+62.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5bac…f1a6backed No40c241$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.6944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No54c239.13$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.9wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+42.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No56c232.57$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.334452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No56c232.57$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.335257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked No55c226.41$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.872100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Yes44c219.64$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.642832.1%9 W · 19 L-5.0wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-40%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x581a…8e5fbacked Yes66c213.82$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a1f…eb43backed Yes46c210.35$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.761855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+35.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3942…ee94backed Yes48c200.86$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b9c…2a84backed No36c192.32$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.08520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42f3…5d8ebacked Yes46c173.62$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-48.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Yes64c152.88$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No54c145.86$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.11758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes46c145.14$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.761050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Yes49c144.82$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.87650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+21.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No54c144.06$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.274447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Yes71c138.39$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes44c130.2$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.710857.4%62 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x415c…d51ebacked No37c130.03$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick28cpaid+197.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No38c122.58$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.2611050%55 W · 55 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed Yes45c121.3$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16c6…9534backed Yes65c120.49$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes48c119.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.593237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-28.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbcb8…3058backed Yes64c107.62$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x859d…b336backed Yes67c105.53$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.57540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-33.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No52c101.01$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9814955.7%83 W · 66 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Yes48c100.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.44922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-45.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed No33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673354.5%18 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cca…08a9backed Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331650%8 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+34.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf07…9c4fbacked Yes46c97.08$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5154…ea77backed No55c96.95$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes47c95.52$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.693053.3%16 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc19d…7204backed No48c91.38$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.671040%4 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe867…0905backed No54c90.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.421030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeca6…08ffbacked Yes44c89.08$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.481428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a0…e45ebacked Yes44c87.85$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.66333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.