TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Melbourne City FC vs. Adelaide United FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,753
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,227

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,753 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x22ce…3cf8backed Yes0c11,392$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.12425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No37c2,617$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,653.199431.9%30 W · 64 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No76c2,330$1,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.5298844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes70c2,103$1,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,473.03933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes19c1,954$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.065119.6%10 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick15cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x013d…0574backed Yes1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Yes1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Yes1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1540%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceb1…bd4fbacked Yes1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f7b…440fbacked Yes1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Yes1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes52c1,460$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.886435.9%23 W · 41 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed No45c1,281$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.4714060.7%85 W · 55 L+19.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No42c1,150$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.1510633%35 W · 71 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes63c1,109$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.161533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No26c1,087$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.522133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1050%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa163…934dbacked Yes26c865.31$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.6475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+77.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No61c759.95$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.4114047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No76c699.42$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.753641.7%15 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-33.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No75c664.12$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.8324732.4%80 W · 167 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No60c568.49$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.563354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes25c568.46$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.366471.9%46 W · 18 L+9.9wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+36.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked No3c499.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.991323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+179.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No40c492.18$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.165853.4%31 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes61c405.82$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.523951.3%20 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No63c396.47$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.3111063.6%70 W · 40 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No74c391.93$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.93745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes25c380.77$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.52528%7 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes50c373.63$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.8223551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes26c367.54$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.562240.9%9 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+31.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No38c334.44$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.745846.6%27 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No74c325.11$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.534450%22 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No75c301.37$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.343737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef20…c46abacked No62c293.61$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.19757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+52.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes71c276.35$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.3613049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No74c260.05$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.833053.3%16 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No63c256$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.8814951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8006…94dcbacked Yes23c208.33$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.69862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick34cpaid+105.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x83e3…8973backed Yes74c193.95$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc19d…7204backed Yes26c183.77$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.781040%4 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42f3…5d8ebacked Yes74c181.74$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-48.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No76c174.25$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2714843.9%65 W · 83 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x206b…61f0backed Yes60c170.01$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.81250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0433…653cbacked Yes26c167.93$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc0e…a1fabacked Yes23c167.31$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes60c166$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.62759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+31.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No41c162.04$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.231952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes25c150.3$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.214729.8%14 W · 33 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd863…5c5ebacked Yes28c143.79$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed No79c140.54$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.512972.4%21 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes25c139.2$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+76.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No64c136$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4210857.4%62 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Yes69c106.74$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.11526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-45.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No40c104.11$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.475259.6%31 W · 21 L+5.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No74c101.01$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2614955.7%83 W · 66 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35a7…c4eebacked Yes19c100.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes63c100.24$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.915945.8%27 W · 32 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252548%12 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed No22c95.7$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.042842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x806a…62d7backed Yes24c87.49$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0947…a830backed Yes22c86.65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Yes60c85.55$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5113540.7%55 W · 80 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb94…6ef0backed Yes60c81.19$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.81662.5%10 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No73c80.65$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9715140.4%61 W · 90 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6861…b317backed Yes63c74$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes26c73.51$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.111643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+70.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc112…d1efbacked Yes27c71.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.122030%6 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed Yes27c71.84$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.122356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes26c66.16$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.28050%40 W · 40 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No78c61.03$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4511050%55 W · 55 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No38c52.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.979714.4%14 W · 83 L-13.0wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-48.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x033c…b4afbacked No75c52.44$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.11875%6 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Yes23c52.42$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.062850%14 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked No49c51.28$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.22650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+21.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No35c48.29$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4312532.8%41 W · 84 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc4d…6e9dbacked Yes37c43.74$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No74c42.46$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1147850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2116…eb8fbacked Yes35c40.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9930%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No74c38.68$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0610757.9%62 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked No74c29.54$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.684148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes74c29.53$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.85277.4%2 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-89.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No65c27.35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.664940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked No75c26.27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.574938.8%19 W · 30 L-9.7wins-0.20per pick59cpaid-40.5%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed No79c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.252060%12 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+31.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No77c19.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.61060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36f2…a6fabacked No78c14.8$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-35.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1412…8417backed No77c14.79$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.4560%3 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick74cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47cc…6aa7backed No75c14.78$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.69650%3 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No74c14$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.646955.1%38 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.