TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-04-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,214
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,224

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,214 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x198f…c419backed No70c2,778$1,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,958.172445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+56.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No72c1,969$1,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,422.1113049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Yes26c1,829$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350.282025%5 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No13c1,706$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.0110633%35 W · 71 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No72c1,644$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,180.284450%22 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed Yes34c1,606$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.9314060.7%85 W · 55 L+19.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes31c1,547$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+143.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Yes7c1,377$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,282.581656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+206.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No74c1,117$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.1798844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes30c1,114$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.183737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes27c997.96$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.556129.5%18 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No69c997.64$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.3747850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes30c958$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.61136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca75…05a6backed No17c882$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes20c868.77$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.21533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes13c726.39$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.612528%7 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No50c639.32$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.3323551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes9c599.29$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.752133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes10c511.34$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+902.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No64c509.41$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.813354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Yes42c494.91$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.782213.6%3 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick30cpaid-75.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes28c446.18$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.254928.6%14 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+47.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa89e…431dbacked Yes28c440.76$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.35728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70dc…1317backed Yes24c437.92$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.85966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+62.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x05d8…31cfbacked Yes72c404.51$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.71258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc775…6b22backed No10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4050%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes34c313.91$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.865846.6%27 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59b4…73e0backed Yes19c248.49$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.893100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+169.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e7d…21c7backed Yes8c236.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.3333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick9cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No78c228.29$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.4811063.6%70 W · 40 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4411…20bfbacked Yes21c226.55$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.291752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes75c223.62$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2310757.9%62 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed No63c221.55$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.642236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No72c210.99$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.913745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes28c204$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+76.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes8c200$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1841323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick13cpaid+105.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x694c…eb70backed Yes28c181.11$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.41172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.8wins+0.34per pick38cpaid+88.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No60c175.79$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.35853.4%31 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No69c172.39$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.953641.7%15 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-33.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No67c169$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.2114843.9%65 W · 83 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No30c168.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.255259.6%31 W · 21 L+5.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xee00…3251backed Yes12c167.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+312.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc19d…7204backed Yes29c165.07$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.21040%4 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ab9…361dbacked Yes29c161.77$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.85825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked Yes17c160$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.82147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick34cpaid+47.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Yes13c159.4$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.121435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid+18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes31c154.61$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.683951.3%20 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea87…8066backed Yes31c154.61$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.68333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No72c151.51$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.4415140.4%61 W · 90 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeca6…08ffbacked Yes13c150.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.211428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Yes26c148.61$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.93650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+21.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No71c138.39$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.266549.2%32 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3248…8ba9backed No71c138.39$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.262166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa590…271cbacked Yes21c137.05$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+165.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No70c132.86$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.443053.3%16 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80aa…e8eabacked No11c126.37$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1430%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9db…dd44backed Yes31c124.62$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.991457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x415c…d51ebacked Yes16c123.89$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.94366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick28cpaid+197.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes28c119.6$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.111145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+46.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No71c119.05$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.8611057.3%63 W · 47 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes16c118.7$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.711233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+34.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No71c117.77$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.3210857.4%62 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No72c115.15$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.414955.7%83 W · 66 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked No72c83.68$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.251957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Yes31c80.53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.512259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes19c78.04$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.594729.8%14 W · 33 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No72c69.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.352429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-56.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9bea…038ebacked No20c68.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1450%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes24c67.39$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.124626.1%12 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-27.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Yes29c66.03$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.881942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x129b…190abacked Yes31c62.45$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.281450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed No71c62$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.021450%7 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No71c52.8$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.495846.6%27 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No68c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342060%12 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb64f…c3a9backed Yes51c46.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb213…49e1backed No63c46.7$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.42475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No68c45.97$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4311752.1%61 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Yes30c42.27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.595255.8%29 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No70c40.66$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.593748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No71c38.3$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.193946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe86f…91f1backed No71c27.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No70c25.15$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.643748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b3b…913dbacked No71c20.76$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.74425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick70cpaid-66.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd8c9…bf73backed No73c20.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes64c19.8$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.132853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bcd…ac63backed No73c18.22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.32837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-36.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No70c18.15$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.712740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No72c18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.966955.1%38 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked No70c16.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.55944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick61cpaid+170.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x47cc…6aa7backed No70c14.73$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.31650%3 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1412…8417backed No70c14.73$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.31560%3 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick74cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No74c14.37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.651060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.