Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbda1b1dec59c4e7a494335ba64cef223aa60e24833f09d768cd9ab075ba0599
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 8c | 4,611$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.87 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 14c | 3,050$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427 | 126 | 13.5%17 W · 109 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 10c | 2,257$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.59 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 18c | 1,696$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.22 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 14c | 1,546$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.91 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 9c | 1,500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.18 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed No | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Yes | 15c | 1,302$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.36 | 77 | 75.3%58 W · 19 L | +12.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…8cddbacked Yes | 16c | 966.44$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 3c | 785.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…8913backed Yes | 36c | 509.53$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Yes | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 13c | 313.87$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…ed5fbacked Yes | 36c | 244.17$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3f…32b2backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f89…e85bbacked Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54fc…b2d4backed Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…60cfbacked Yes | 15c | 172$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa341…5e5fbacked Yes | 14c | 140.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 80c | 130.67$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 80c | 129.43$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783f…8f90backed Yes | 15c | 118$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 17c | 111.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0aee…bddfbacked Yes | 17c | 109.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…f8dfbacked Yes | 29c | 92.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 16c | 92.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 15c | 88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 14c | 76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 136 | 28.7%39 W · 97 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 77c | 70.75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Yes | 35c | 62.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -10.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7f…657ebacked Yes | 29c | 62.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked No | 75c | 58.12$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Yes | 36c | 55.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 70c | 54.81$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 43c | 52.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…746bbacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…860fbacked No | 70c | 42.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 74c | 41.49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…d031backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…0947backed Yes | 32c | 38.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked No | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed No | 77c | 31.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed Yes | 35c | 31.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 57c | 22.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed No | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 56c | 21.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 56c | 18.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2b…e55dbacked No | 74c | 15.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will PSV vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw?No won
- Will PSV win on 2026-04-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.