TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Nemesisof Team Nemesis, RUSTEC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$162,385
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$181,897

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,385 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 243 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Team Nemesis72c13,953$9,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,971.8477052.7%406 W · 364 L+28.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked RUSTEC28c6,633$1,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,883.535,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked RUSTEC29c6,620$1,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,927.3184454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8907…a996backed Team Nemesis61c5,959$3,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,311.371330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-50.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed RUSTEC31c5,497$1,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,721.246,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Team Nemesis69c4,292$2,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350.435850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed RUSTEC29c3,493$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.811,42333.6%478 W · 945 L+41.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Team Nemesis69c3,454$2,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.3657358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked RUSTEC29c3,382$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.147425.7%19 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Team Nemesis70c3,367$2,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.0253746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15fb…252dbacked Team Nemesis72c2,707$1,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.49742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd500…4568backed Team Nemesis71c2,441$1,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.832853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed Team Nemesis63c2,066$1,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.1324457%139 W · 105 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd705…fb7cbacked RUSTEC40c1,990$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.8532536%117 W · 208 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed RUSTEC28c1,923$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.4911637.9%44 W · 72 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed RUSTEC28c1,775$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.7156732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Team Nemesis68c1,600$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.4166446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked RUSTEC44c1,552$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.6275545.6%344 W · 411 L-21.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Team Nemesis72c1,345$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.315164.2%97 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed RUSTEC35c1,291$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.744,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d22…4b50backed RUSTEC30c1,253$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.2520554.1%111 W · 94 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+65.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed RUSTEC27c1,245$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.995,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Team Nemesis72c1,232$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.4478963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e3…770ebacked Team Nemesis67c1,173$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.561764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ba0…980fbacked RUSTEC20c1,122$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.231844.4%8 W · 10 L-3.7wins-0.20per pick65cpaid-37.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xb64f…0d2abacked Team Nemesis73c1,111$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.97450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dfe…2ac7backed Team Nemesis72c1,091$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.59683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick72cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked RUSTEC50c1,063$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.065347.2%25 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Team Nemesis73c1,063$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.886956.5%39 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Team Nemesis72c1,046$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.888242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa16b…b541backed Team Nemesis52c1,026$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.8643954.9%241 W · 198 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec4c…f5bdbacked RUSTEC30c1,000$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+60.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed RUSTEC26c944.49$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.155,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xec7b…917ebacked RUSTEC10c910.9$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.7728340.3%114 W · 169 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed RUSTEC17c808.93$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.419540%38 W · 57 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked RUSTEC29c803.19$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.862,60552.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L+97.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked RUSTEC33c799.98$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.9917450.6%88 W · 86 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80ed…ce26backed RUSTEC33c796.34$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.791838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-35.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef66…f839backed RUSTEC20c774.79$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.3513036.9%48 W · 82 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7012…4035backed Team Nemesis61c750.99$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x628b…b84fbacked RUSTEC39c674.46$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.8130%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed RUSTEC28c657.07$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.771,11054.2%602 W · 508 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcaeb…a226backed Team Nemesis79c648.09$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.923100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf638…aa50backed Team Nemesis67c632.91$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.86887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.27per pick60cpaid+48.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Team Nemesis80c623.4$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.021,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3f9…d587backed RUSTEC19c601.97$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.3735033.4%117 W · 233 L+22.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+44.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked RUSTEC31c599.99$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1867625%19 W · 57 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-32.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed RUSTEC28c599.97$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.621,59429.7%473 W · 1,121 L-88.1wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked RUSTEC30c597.51$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.1522534.2%77 W · 148 L-19.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-36.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8373…7b8ebacked RUSTEC55c559.26$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.181030%3 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-53.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Team Nemesis56c555$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.236253.3%193 W · 169 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c16…2dabbacked Team Nemesis76c537.89$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.26862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed RUSTEC27c532.52$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.92,39346.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed RUSTEC28c528.56$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.2117034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d8…9ccdbacked RUSTEC36c512.45$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1874557.8%26 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+23.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed RUSTEC33c501$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.332437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-32.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed Team Nemesis69c500.54$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.17742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cd3…de97backed RUSTEC28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01f…8404backed RUSTEC27c500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4619…2108backed RUSTEC2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106355.6%35 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4907…e458backed RUSTEC28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d73…9d35backed Team Nemesis79c486.68$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.572100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked Team Nemesis70c479.21$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.812080%16 W · 4 L+4.7wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+49.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Team Nemesis50c472.62$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.472,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xebfd…dd70backed RUSTEC55c443.45$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.481435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Team Nemesis69c421.65$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.7153545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Team Nemesis56c409.08$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.242,39742.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8945…640bbacked Team Nemesis69c376.09$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.8426257.6%151 W · 111 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Nemesis65c364.23$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.2335643%153 W · 203 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ac8…45c4backed RUSTEC57c342.24$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.321833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe4e5…d034backed RUSTEC32c339.56$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.6613044.6%58 W · 72 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55fb…07e1backed RUSTEC53c333.92$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked RUSTEC29c322.29$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.9831640.2%127 W · 189 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Nemesis74c317.22$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.612,66430.8%820 W · 1,844 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked RUSTEC29c310.81$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1526037.3%97 W · 163 L-17.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe3fe…3f90backed Team Nemesis71c305.69$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.152744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed RUSTEC32c299.75$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9298856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc02…aeabbacked Team Nemesis54c296.83$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.541741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebf8…7d2bbacked RUSTEC18c285.24$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3415355.6%85 W · 68 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked RUSTEC50c281.81$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.857,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5b3…4155backed Team Nemesis73c271.62$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.34862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…30d5backed RUSTEC32c265.43$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.946246.8%29 W · 33 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb3d2…f38bbacked Team Nemesis46c255$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.72152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b1a…d790backed Team Nemesis68c252.52$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.857946.8%37 W · 42 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedd0…731cbacked Team Nemesis79c248.48$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9833060.9%201 W · 129 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked RUSTEC30c243.43$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0510950.5%55 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x707e…a614backed Team Nemesis60c240.64$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.4312138%46 W · 75 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Team Nemesis73c232.44$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9438552.7%203 W · 182 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeae5…0720backed RUSTEC33c232.31$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.661127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-57.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c55…7ef8backed Team Nemesis68c230.61$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.96922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-59.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Team Nemesis66c229.91$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.932,47424.7%611 W · 1,863 L-316.9wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-51.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xb7ad…68c9backed Team Nemesis53c208.8$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9824051.7%124 W · 116 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c07…5feabacked Team Nemesis78c202.42$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.532157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed RUSTEC29c202.13$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.152,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Nemesis71c200.01$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.772,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Team Nemesis53c200$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9528434.9%99 W · 185 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed RUSTEC39c198.13$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.071,32544.1%584 W · 741 L+44.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed RUSTEC17c190.04$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.311,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e2b…7fc1backed Team Nemesis56c187.77$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.624463.6%28 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x92a0…5fdcbacked Team Nemesis66c185.31$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.