CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs RUSTEC - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf98176882a3d6c805aa065db7615c4bbdfb5f9a171e507a22414157549b2150
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RUSTECof Team Nemesis, RUSTEC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,383
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,778
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,383 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked RUSTEC | 33c | 776.04$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.18 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aba…47e5backed Team Nemesis | 67c | 510$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.7 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…2aa9backed RUSTEC | 32c | 489.19$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.65 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4235…69cbbacked Team Nemesis | 67c | 431.29$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.96 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x950c…e503backed RUSTEC | 32c | 422.05$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Team Nemesis | 67c | 410.13$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.79 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Team Nemesis | 66c | 393.55$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.74 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Nemesis | 67c | 338.76$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.79 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed RUSTEC | 39c | 264.79$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.86 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked RUSTEC | 48c | 264.32$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.86 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…7b8ebacked Team Nemesis | 52c | 186.22$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.13 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed RUSTEC | 58c | 168.47$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.49 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Team Nemesis | 69c | 141.29$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.97 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Nemesis | 25c | 125.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Nemesis | 65c | 120.61$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.34 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed RUSTEC | 68c | 114.36$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.09 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…5bbfbacked Team Nemesis | 32c | 112.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e99…0a26backed Team Nemesis | 61c | 100.59$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.36 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked RUSTEC | 40c | 98.22$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed RUSTEC | 44c | 96.64$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 205 | 54.1%111 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…fe9abacked RUSTEC | 50c | 93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.06 | 187 | 36.9%69 W · 118 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Team Nemesis | 73c | 84.88$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.96 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed RUSTEC | 44c | 81.96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked RUSTEC | 56c | 69.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Team Nemesis | 56c | 63.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…9111backed Team Nemesis | 63c | 41.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Nemesis | 74c | 36.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Team Nemesis | 64c | 36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed RUSTEC | 40c | 35.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Nemesis | 70c | 34.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd3…4144backed RUSTEC | 56c | 33.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed RUSTEC | 37c | 31.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1693…f77fbacked RUSTEC | 53c | 27.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6733…45febacked Team Nemesis | 68c | 24.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…6ba2backed Team Nemesis | 66c | 20.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Team Nemesis | 69c | 18.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 159 | 65.4%104 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs RUSTEC - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 PlayoffsTeam Nemesis won
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs RUSTEC - Map 2 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.