CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs RUSTEC - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1698630a12c0d219ba9405330743ba879bedb08cce4f21190bcc7754f116c42f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof Team Nemesis, RUSTEC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,029
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,756
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,029 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed RUSTEC | 27c | 1,292$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.02 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Nemesis | 75c | 743.64$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.12 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Nemesis | 67c | 600.78$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.94 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked RUSTEC | 31c | 427.83$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.56 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed RUSTEC | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,283 | 22%282 W · 1,001 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba0…980fbacked Team Nemesis | 75c | 392.9$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.36 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed RUSTEC | 21c | 354.75$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.01 | 1,548 | 33.9%524 W · 1,024 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked RUSTEC | 35c | 351.53$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.92 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed RUSTEC | 43c | 294.56$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.52 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc96…aa54backed RUSTEC | 31c | 260$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed Team Nemesis | 76c | 226.94$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.47 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed RUSTEC | 20c | 220.32$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.15 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…3f90backed Team Nemesis | 69c | 219.56$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.08 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Team Nemesis | 59c | 205.76$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.11 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Team Nemesis | 66c | 188.7$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.16 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked RUSTEC | 34c | 181.23$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.62 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed RUSTEC | 36c | 167.8$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.82 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked RUSTEC | 21c | 161.46$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed RUSTEC | 33c | 143.87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.03 | 1,110 | 54.2%602 W · 508 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…b153backed RUSTEC | 49c | 106.64$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.35 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed RUSTEC | 36c | 105.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 498 | 43%214 W · 284 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed RUSTEC | 23c | 87.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Team Nemesis | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 569 | 38.1%217 W · 352 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed RUSTEC | 23c | 68.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 373 | 46.1%172 W · 201 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Team Nemesis | 68c | 66.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…7cfbbacked Team Nemesis | 71c | 59.77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed RUSTEC | 31c | 49.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked RUSTEC | 36c | 48.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…9111backed Team Nemesis | 68c | 29.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Team Nemesis | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Team Nemesis | 70c | 21.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Nemesis | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs RUSTEC - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 PlayoffsTeam Nemesis won
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs RUSTEC - Map 1 WinnerRUSTEC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.