Premier League · resolved market
Will Brighton win on 2025-05-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf2640fab01dae462b707e8f7b5460e2129d4b7ab566c30c252f16725cfe10aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $147,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $167,194
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf6eb…1d57backed Yes | 62c | 52,900$32,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,102 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…2039backed No | 38c | 52,900$20,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,101.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 60c | 10,478$6,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,272.39 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…bedebacked Yes | 40c | 8,325$3,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,002.3 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked No | 2c | 8,096$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.06 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +15.6wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +437.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…bbbdbacked No | 38c | 7,150$2,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,689.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Yes | 40c | 6,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 59c | 4,468$2,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,813.87 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 60c | 3,623$2,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,186.67 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 40c | 3,500$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 66c | 2,880$1,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.24 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Yes | 39c | 2,835$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.39 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 59c | 2,531$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.28 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 39c | 2,510$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.92 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed No | 3c | 2,471$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.72 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Yes | 76c | 1,674$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 17c | 1,661$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.72 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9443…e5ecbacked Yes | 40c | 1,600$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked No | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649d…88afbacked No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2d…43f3backed Yes | 37c | 985$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 39c | 542.45$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.62 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x02e4…7793backed Yes | 37c | 525$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe0…37adbacked Yes | 37c | 470$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +129%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed No | 61c | 450.41$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.75 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6efc…c084backed No | 63c | 380$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked No | 56c | 281.99$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.16 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f7…9fd9backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7503…212bbacked No | 63c | 220$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…fc9dbacked No | 63c | 205$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f7…382ebacked No | 63c | 190$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 59c | 180$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.05 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…3e67backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…49e5backed Yes | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 37c | 126.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb331…e001backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ce…814abacked Yes | 52c | 121.93$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d9…ed60backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…a058backed No | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 62c | 89$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.18 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Yes | 66c | 84.61$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 45c | 77.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.94 | 378 | 40.5%153 W · 225 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x40a3…6ed8backed Yes | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4a…bed1backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b6…27ddbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…ed5fbacked Yes | 39c | 48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…7300backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed No | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Yes | 37c | 37.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1971…c2c4backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4279…05cabacked No | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…c476backed Yes | 45c | 24.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 59c | 24.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ed…8aa5backed No | 61c | 19.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brighton win on 2025-05-10?this page
- Will Wolves vs. Brighton end in a draw?No won
- Will Wolves win on 2025-05-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.