Premier League · resolved market
Will Wolves vs. Brighton end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79fe4f39489fa9febcd12dfaae5cbb0839ce453e9d81c922c35ae4be6cbcfaae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,719
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,719 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc08…0577backed No | 72c | 10,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e7…1a08backed Yes | 28c | 9,999$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…29babacked Yes | 28c | 9,999$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab10…9905backed No | 72c | 9,999$7,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacc3…de78backed Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 74c | 898.9$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.65 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Yes | 27c | 744.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 29c | 700.91$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.58 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 26c | 658.74$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.67 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 27c | 598.03$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.47 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bd…2b47backed No | 73c | 590$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 72c | 499.94$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.98 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb65…8accbacked No | 73c | 410$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +185.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 28c | 358.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…0f44backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed No | 71c | 350$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x616b…72f7backed Yes | 22c | 236.36$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d9…ed60backed No | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 172 | 34.9%60 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 71c | 172$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.88 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 25c | 157.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Yes | 22c | 150$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yes | 27c | 140$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd93f…d17cbacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3def…08b4backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 28c | 79.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b6…27ddbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked No | 72c | 73.98$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 61 | 77%47 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eca…4bc9backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87de…42bfbacked No | 73c | 71.23$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked No | 72c | 56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2566…95c7backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +57%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5737…2eb2backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 29c | 36.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec78…b334backed No | 73c | 14.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wolves vs. Brighton end in a draw?this page
- Will Brighton win on 2025-05-10?Yes won
- Will Wolves win on 2025-05-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.