Premier League · resolved market
Will Wolves win on 2025-05-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21cc28a0353a9f49c0672bffdef4e75f1a2bd836bbd5446912ecd94bea4670f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,694
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 32c | 7,031$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…68eebacked No | 68c | 6,973$4,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,243.37 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 67c | 5,428$3,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804.65 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 34c | 3,050$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a24…ea91backed Yes | 36c | 2,766$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…bedebacked No | 69c | 2,747$1,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.51 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 74c | 2,410$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.91 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 67c | 1,245$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.44 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Yes | 32c | 1,104$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.31 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 71c | 1,073$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.68 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x638c…e7f7backed Yes | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x604f…9c80backed Yes | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf02…3638backed No | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 36c | 694.44$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 70c | 662.83$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.89 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4f67…15c4backed No | 65c | 640$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 35c | 636.53$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.79 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 36c | 595.78$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.3 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 64c | 526.23$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.44 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Yes | 34c | 500$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes | 33c | 477$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.13 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Yes | 34c | 440$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1d…9a9bbacked No | 65c | 330$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…439bbacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 35c | 257.14$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 34c | 247.96$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcabe…906dbacked Yes | 33c | 242.42$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0695…4f68backed Yes | 37c | 220$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 36c | 208.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…3668backed Yes | 35c | 204.17$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d9…ed60backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Yes | 14c | 197.07$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Yes | 33c | 152$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9674…b8cbbacked Yes | 36c | 141.61$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7b…ea70backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd5…9801backed Yes | 35c | 123.57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2392…0d4bbacked Yes | 22c | 118$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -44%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe26c…c7b2backed No | 66c | 88.14$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 64c | 86$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…fcd6backed Yes | 34c | 85.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed No | 68c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 66c | 69.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…f7debacked Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…1617backed Yes | 34c | 57.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4279…05cabacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d90…d769backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 34c | 55.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4a…bed1backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a85…a1bdbacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…aa94backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed No | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked No | 70c | 44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ed…8aa5backed No | 65c | 38.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed No | 70c | 36.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 34c | 32.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa75…3caabacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58dd…0ed1backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wolves win on 2025-05-10?this page
- Will Brighton win on 2025-05-10?Yes won
- Will Wolves vs. Brighton end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.