Fifa International · resolved market
Will Togo win on 2026-03-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1da9ad22e8fdf34bde3ef6d9dfb6cc22351b7d24d663736be356765c36696d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,795
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,795 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 60c | 778.11$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.74 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 14c | 400$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 66c | 377.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x822b…61fdbacked Yes | 30c | 292.45$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.84 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +8.5wins | +0.25per pick | 40cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1c…f13cbacked No | 71c | 275.7$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ce…ed13backed Yes | 75c | 272.73$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.18 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +70%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8268…8534backed Yes | 37c | 260.97$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.76 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6d…6b36backed Yes | 31c | 191.07$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.84 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…c629backed Yes | 44c | 159.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.44 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd1…553dbacked Yes | 28c | 130.54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.99 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ca…35f7backed Yes | 35c | 105.96$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.62 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +6.6wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 22c | 71.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee05…d6ccbacked Yes | 24c | 58.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 64c | 44.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 57c | 42.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5d…d8a8backed No | 71c | 41.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 75c | 39.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked No | 64c | 35.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 69c | 29.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 63c | 29.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 66c | 29.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95a0…e80bbacked Yes | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf237…4989backed No | 64c | 23.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 73c | 21.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Togo win on 2026-03-31?this page
- Will Niger vs. Togo end in a draw?No won
- Will Niger win on 2026-03-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.