Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80e8eac7d3e4af30f94a0b3add97a4076fb54b637d944d4f423434be711c0287
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,860
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,860 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked No | 6c | 547.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf229…d5f7backed Yes | 46c | 533.38$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.12 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 46c | 454.03$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.69 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 27c | 416.58$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.58 | 601 | 21%126 W · 475 L | -25.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 15c | 373.04$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.81 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 34c | 372.08$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.25 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa811…75b8backed No | 71c | 352.74$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.34 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d095backed Yes | 70c | 327.43$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.97 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 65c | 307.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 32c | 274.17$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.6 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 71c | 270.49$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.95 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed Yes | 58c | 256.64$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.76 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6973…b296backed No | 20c | 250$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 33c | 245.84$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.78 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 36c | 245.53$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3a…8daabacked No | 51c | 238.42$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.86 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df8…6c4ebacked Yes | 42c | 235.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.45 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6012…900fbacked No | 62c | 224.72$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.47 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 41c | 222.56$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.35 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…443bbacked Yes | 46c | 215.93$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 37c | 214.3$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.64 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a4…d89fbacked Yes | 56c | 200.45$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.35 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 49c | 200.05$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.65 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 45c | 199.96$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.98 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0be4…2ed6backed Yes | 48c | 193.87$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.04 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 36c | 191.15$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.18 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812d…8f72backed No | 54c | 184.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x723e…083ebacked No | 39c | 147.08$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.85 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 29c | 142.51$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.69 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 78c | 142.07$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…0b64backed Yes | 58c | 140.03$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…9d72backed No | 10c | 138.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +376.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea1…d176backed No | 38c | 129.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.03 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…4408backed No | 65c | 127.46$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.87 | 335 | 67.5%226 W · 109 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 34c | 119.85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.96 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 53c | 113.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bd…fe2abacked Yes | 35c | 112.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.72 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2671…a5fabacked No | 54c | 111.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 190 | 59.5%113 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…1f9bbacked Yes | 57c | 110.95$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.69 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c9babacked Yes | 62c | 110.42$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.46 | 451 | 48.6%219 W · 232 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 54c | 110$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187f…7985backed Yes | 47c | 108.8$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ca…128abacked No | 26c | 108.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1db5…ff84backed Yes | 37c | 107.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfab6…f3e1backed Yes | 67c | 106.45$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed Yes | 45c | 104.08$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.25 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…28a2backed Yes | 37c | 103.31$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.08 | 561 | 31.7%178 W · 383 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 44c | 102.58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.45 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f92…15d2backed Yes | 57c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e3…5906backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a12…f7fdbacked Yes | 48c | 99.84$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 46c | 99.8$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.89 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 46c | 97.44$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.62 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabc6…acb4backed Yes | 46c | 94.35$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.95 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d4…3e2ebacked Yes | 51c | 88.12$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 55c | 87.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…6465backed No | 68c | 86.27$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.66 | 375 | 33.6%126 W · 249 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfddb…4b77backed Yes | 58c | 82.16$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 32c | 80.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 591 | 25.9%153 W · 438 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c9…d2b8backed Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 535 | 47.5%254 W · 281 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d1…0e35backed Yes | 50c | 77.2$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a1…20f9backed No | 37c | 77.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 340 | 57.1%194 W · 146 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ed…8b4bbacked Yes | 63c | 76.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 112 | 23.2%26 W · 86 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 56c | 76.06$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 271 | 67.2%182 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…b168backed Yes | 45c | 75.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.53 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb82…68a3backed Yes | 79c | 71.2$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…9534backed Yes | 66c | 68.79$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 49c | 66.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…0981backed No | 54c | 64.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 146 | 71.2%104 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 54c | 64.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 64c | 64.46$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Yes | 59c | 63.92$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.08 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked No | 69c | 62.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 729 | 52.4%382 W · 347 L | +34.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5e…5441backed No | 54c | 62.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 38c | 62.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…0321backed Yes | 47c | 61.83$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94ce…edf2backed Yes | 80c | 61.71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f6…eadabacked No | 55c | 60.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 165 | 75.8%125 W · 40 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5644…ecbbbacked Yes | 80c | 59.97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 237 | 38%90 W · 147 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c1…bec3backed Yes | 61c | 59.94$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…c70bbacked No | 66c | 58.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 549 | 66.7%366 W · 183 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa22f…af41backed No | 53c | 55.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe009…121ebacked Yes | 35c | 53.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffa2…1c7fbacked Yes | 60c | 52.82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 46c | 52.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…2b48backed Yes | 36c | 52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 38c | 51.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…5f98backed Yes | 31c | 51.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 395 | 35.4%140 W · 255 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 60c | 50.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c0…cb52backed Yes | 45c | 50.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba7…8ff1backed Yes | 46c | 50.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 195 | 41.5%81 W · 114 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba2a…d857backed No | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f8…bfa5backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…27b0backed No | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 28c | 49.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e7…04a6backed Yes | 58c | 49.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…f426backed No | 67c | 48.87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe551…2e76backed Yes | 45c | 48.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 20?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on April 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.