Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will NEC win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x518eea8232ff71be474caf1b4c67ce216f9a4bd4f39d33689d06389a8e0453a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,224 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 45c | 7,395$3,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,037.76 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 15c | 6,145$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.7 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed No | 52c | 3,858$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 16c | 3,787$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,177.43 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Yes | 16c | 2,820$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,368.76 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 63c | 2,098$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.65 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9836…b1c9backed No | 1c | 1,558$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.35 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 74c | 690.29$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.91 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 52c | 556$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.2 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed No | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…ff71backed No | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 49c | 476.53$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.11 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Yes | 16c | 454.78$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6070…88a8backed No | 41c | 394.6$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.37 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed No | 37c | 359.09$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.86 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 40c | 345.59$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.72 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 31c | 335.35$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.35 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…8cddbacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked No | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 42c | 292$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.08 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +239.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 29c | 273.58$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.15 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 60c | 271.06$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.42 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 44c | 227.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.55 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed No | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 17c | 158.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 71 | 73.2%52 W · 19 L | +15.4wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 31c | 145.54$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 32c | 128.18$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.44 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 13c | 121.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.27 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -17.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef5…0366backed Yes | 16c | 118.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.39 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes | 46c | 109.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.3 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked No | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc732…fafbbacked No | 13c | 96.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 68c | 86$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.48 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +91.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x974e…8703backed No | 49c | 80.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed No | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 15c | 67.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32aa…0c01backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 33c | 59.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed No | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf0…30a0backed Yes | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf18…09a4backed No | 45c | 43.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea51…83a0backed No | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c24…921dbacked No | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…4426backed Yes | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 71c | 38.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed No | 54c | 34.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Yes | 63c | 33.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +4.2wins | +0.25per pick | 64cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b44…2519backed No | 51c | 31.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0235…472ebacked No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23e2…9ecdbacked Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95a0…e80bbacked Yes | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NEC win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will PSV vs. NEC end in a draw?No won
- Will PSV win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.