Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will PSV vs. NEC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11b8c7f35ac3d94df4ec0f753e797413e40fed2298b1d922caa038df645daeb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,543 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 27c | 5,513$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 2,449$1,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.98 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 2,046$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.59 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 20c | 1,040$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.82 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3448…a954backed Yes | 30c | 911.35$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 18c | 751.7$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.31 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 18c | 664.63$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.72 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 3c | 585.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes | 32c | 433.18$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 433.06$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.14 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 76c | 383.24$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.55 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 18c | 333.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.86 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 31c | 324.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 18c | 312$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x788a…bff2backed Yes | 24c | 251.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 19c | 240.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 31c | 211.58$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 18c | 188.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 186.26$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 17c | 149.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 29c | 136.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 19c | 122.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…03efbacked Yes | 30c | 100.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 14c | 96.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 76c | 88.13$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 22c | 87.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 78c | 86.36$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed No | 76c | 72$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 17c | 59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 20c | 56.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 24c | 43.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf25a…d724backed No | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -58%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 75c | 24.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 77c | 16.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PSV vs. NEC end in a draw?this page
- Will NEC win on 2026-03-14?Yes won
- Will PSV win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.