La Liga · resolved market
Will Burgos CF win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdff4526fa0ac9fe518925dc0371fb75979fee01dd7ce808607e25eaefad73b15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 77c | 318.84$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.76 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Yes | 30c | 275.78$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.89 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8126…f64ebacked Yes | 74c | 267.42$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 9c | 219.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 207.02$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.97 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed No | 72c | 194.29$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.89 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 26c | 181.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.01 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 22c | 166.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 26c | 132.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 106.12$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.28 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…44edbacked Yes | 30c | 103.88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.71 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 28c | 83.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.81 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 29c | 72.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.63 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 25c | 70.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 70c | 67.77$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.44 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 71c | 58.96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed No | 22c | 56.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 80c | 49.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -15.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 24c | 42.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.23 | 163 | 63.8%104 W · 59 L | +32.3wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 36.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 70c | 32.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95a0…e80bbacked Yes | 78c | 29.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Burgos CF win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will Albacete Balompié vs. Burgos CF end in a draw?No won
- Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-04-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.