South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-04-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05700df27a31723ba4c5034420a0d777bfef2b5511969ed0dba4887a6146b288
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,039
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,646
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,039 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 61c | 980.3$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.28 | 8,175 | 48.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L | +27.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04e5…070fbacked No | 78c | 909.68$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 17c | 875.31$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.04 | 201 | 22.4%45 W · 156 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes | 80c | 853.84$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.77 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 25c | 796.2$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.39 | 1,323 | 42.8%566 W · 757 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 10c | 765.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 1,393 | 52.6%733 W · 660 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5a…0122backed Yes | 55c | 637$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 6c | 576.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 50c | 553$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.75 | 1,557 | 45.1%702 W · 855 L | +19.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 75c | 500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 73c | 479.71$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.8 | 1,702 | 52%885 W · 817 L | +21.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 25c | 435.6$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.7 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes | 54c | 379.91$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.66 | 83 | 68.7%57 W · 26 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked No | 18c | 333.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 19c | 330.63$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.48 | 828 | 34.5%286 W · 542 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 55c | 302.74$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.02 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 32c | 149.23$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 12c | 147.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 1,465 | 56.8%832 W · 633 L | +55.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 16c | 139.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 27c | 127.07$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.07 | 311 | 30.9%96 W · 215 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 120.49$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.97 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Yes | 25c | 106.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +293.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 19c | 99.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 43c | 95.05$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.18 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed Yes | 61c | 80.17$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef4…95c7backed Yes | 25c | 79.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.73 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 74c | 74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed No | 52c | 72.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 18c | 71.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 130 | 23.1%30 W · 100 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 62c | 71.2$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 25c | 67.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.59 | 454 | 52.9%240 W · 214 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 74c | 60.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 130 | 62.3%81 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1481…3ff0backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 25c | 49.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.09 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca5…9343backed Yes | 55c | 45.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 74c | 44.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…4d66backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes | 80c | 37.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…7720backed Yes | 28c | 36.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked No | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…10fcbacked No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649d…8548backed Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 72c | 17.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 73c | 14.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-04-29?this page
- Will Barcelona SC vs. CD Universidad Católica end in a draw?No won
- Will Barcelona SC win on 2026-04-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.