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South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Barcelona SC vs. CD Universidad Católica end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,504
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,352

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,504 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes31c2,359$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.2420046.5%93 W · 107 L+14.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+21.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked No69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31014945%67 W · 82 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3109458.5%55 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+25.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe347…b438backed No69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1551668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83de…1786backed Yes5c403.91$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.334348.8%21 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Yes32c316.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes13c307.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408535.3%30 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes16c300$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5420122.4%45 W · 156 L-13.8wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Yes31c218$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.58837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-34.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No69c216.13$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672,34651.4%1,207 W · 1,139 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Yes30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.823221.9%7 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes10c199.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014435.4%51 W · 93 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes31c196.88$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0342250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9982…8b06backed No71c190.73$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.86683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9006…385abacked Yes31c151.61$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475650%28 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No69c151.49$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.461,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe84c…5269backed Yes35c143.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503040%12 W · 18 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+30.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe06a…37c8backed Yes23c139.72$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No65c133.14$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.61,39352.6%733 W · 660 L+53.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No69c123.15$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5681356.5%459 W · 354 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked Yes13c116.92$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1518743.9%82 W · 105 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318153.1%43 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No69c88$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2813062.3%81 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes13c76.93$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1071619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Yes14c69.72$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013023.1%30 W · 100 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No68c67.48$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.591,44251.9%748 W · 694 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0947…a830backed Yes21c65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4450%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed No69c63.58$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7111156.8%63 W · 48 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Yes31c61$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.911154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked No69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.610654.7%58 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Yes31c51$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.811553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No69c48$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8816960.9%103 W · 66 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes29c45.35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1545452.9%240 W · 214 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7894…7b9dbacked Yes31c39$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.09520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-66.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbced…5808backed Yes31c37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.47742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-36.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No71c35.22$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2129053.8%156 W · 134 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Yes32c33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.563240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e59…cc2ebacked Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed No70c26.86$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0619761.9%122 W · 75 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No69c24.48$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.591,32550%663 W · 662 L-14.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f01…0d90backed No68c21.25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.82673.1%19 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+20.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4c7…c6bdbacked No69c19.98$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.193100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0271…5673backed No70c16.16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.851090%9 W · 1 L+3.2wins+0.32per pick58cpaid+55.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x649d…8548backed No76c15.64$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.78977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.