La Liga · resolved market
Will UD Almería win on 2026-04-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b4e8fafdaaacbcc4d0fe1e058b319cfd5c90728292948b8b689cdc0956c3366
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,432
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 38c | 1,926$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.63 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 23c | 1,814$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.28 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 62c | 1,431$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.75 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 62c | 1,328$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.48 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 36c | 1,022$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.19 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 24c | 565.88$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.7 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes | 41c | 470.65$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.73 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 41c | 470.54$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.62 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 35c | 461.84$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.3 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 65c | 396.21$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.54 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 65c | 396.21$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.54 | 234 | 56.4%132 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 22c | 291.96$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.17 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 50c | 284.46$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.22 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde01…a938backed Yes | 65c | 266.94$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 50c | 202.07$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.66 | 283 | 42.8%121 W · 162 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 30c | 159.36$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.14 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 63c | 151.21$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.27 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 23c | 143.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 29c | 129.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b8…3eb6backed Yes | 38c | 109.76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.05 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed No | 13c | 93.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 22c | 86.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 35c | 80$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 59c | 78.54$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.34 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 32c | 72.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 41c | 70.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -15.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca5…9343backed Yes | 36c | 53.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +62%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed Yes | 39c | 49.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 270 | 55.2%149 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf449…4854backed Yes | 36c | 48.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2119…9303backed Yes | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe531…39d8backed Yes | 36c | 40.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 71c | 39.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 32c | 37.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f62…a825backed Yes | 41c | 28.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 69c | 28.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 64c | 26.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 66c | 23.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 79c | 21.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked No | 61c | 21.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will UD Almería win on 2026-04-26?this page
- Will Granada CF vs. UD Almería end in a draw?No won
- Will Granada CF win on 2026-04-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.