La Liga · resolved market
Will Granada CF vs. UD Almería end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7457c2e7e880375392c923a461cd4e7c2355a7fb19c83d30f853fe6766873d90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,263
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 29c | 3,602$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.33 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed No | 71c | 2,779$1,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.83 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Yes | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 71c | 1,645$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.95 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 69cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 800.56$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.11 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 377.64$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.43 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 326.65$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.09 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 29c | 295.65$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.74 | 126 | 26.2%33 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 28c | 248.39$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.55 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 29c | 165.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 174 | 55.2%96 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 70c | 112.76$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 29c | 94.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 168 | 60.1%101 W · 67 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 27c | 86.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 77c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 69c | 74$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Yes | 31c | 72.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 23c | 71.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 31c | 70.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 29c | 55.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 28c | 54.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 29c | 49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 72c | 41.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 71c | 27.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 72c | 19.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 72 | 73.6%53 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 71c | 19.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 186 | 53.8%100 W · 86 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Granada CF vs. UD Almería end in a draw?this page
- Will Granada CF win on 2026-04-26?No won
- Will UD Almería win on 2026-04-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.