MLB · resolved market
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. NC Dinos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x245bfe3cd8771ddf81b3fc9ae8adbdc5cc9113f8db4eb5a6261514fa621eb442
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NC Dinosof Kia Tigers, NC Dinos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,429
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,429 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Kia Tigers | 27c | 4,369$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed NC Dinos | 75c | 3,618$2,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.51 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Kia Tigers | 56c | 3,026$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed NC Dinos | 44c | 2,695$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.02 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed NC Dinos | 42c | 655.05$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.55 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Kia Tigers | 35c | 560.27$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.6 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Kia Tigers | 58c | 514.01$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed NC Dinos | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Kia Tigers | 40c | 435.61$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.15 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed NC Dinos | 42c | 387.41$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.57 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed Kia Tigers | 58c | 344.91$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73dd…60f3backed NC Dinos | 68c | 250$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Kia Tigers | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.2 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed NC Dinos | 44c | 245$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.2 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb069…498cbacked NC Dinos | 43c | 238.02$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Kia Tigers | 14c | 218.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed NC Dinos | 42c | 203.79$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.2 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…0f1cbacked Kia Tigers | 59c | 178.66$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed NC Dinos | 46c | 172.87$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.89 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed NC Dinos | 46c | 172.83$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.83 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…f61ebacked NC Dinos | 46c | 159.33$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.04 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed NC Dinos | 41c | 149.98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.49 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed NC Dinos | 52c | 131.73$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.36 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca5…9343backed Kia Tigers | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Kia Tigers | 23c | 126.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed NC Dinos | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0e…5e62backed NC Dinos | 43c | 116.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed NC Dinos | 43c | 116.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed NC Dinos | 62c | 106$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4282…ea9dbacked Kia Tigers | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Kia Tigers | 34c | 88.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed NC Dinos | 44c | 83.42$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed NC Dinos | 43c | 81.66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed NC Dinos | 42c | 75.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.51 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked NC Dinos | 62c | 74.5$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 118 | 66.1%78 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Kia Tigers | 46c | 74$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed NC Dinos | 44c | 68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed Kia Tigers | 59c | 67.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed NC Dinos | 42c | 65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…6cc9backed Kia Tigers | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x485a…a7c3backed Kia Tigers | 56c | 52.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed NC Dinos | 42c | 50.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.31 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked NC Dinos | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Kia Tigers | 54c | 49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa80b…02d6backed NC Dinos | 42c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed NC Dinos | 41c | 42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed NC Dinos | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Kia Tigers | 56c | 35.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x768d…d230backed Kia Tigers | 40c | 29.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed NC Dinos | 43c | 26.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked NC Dinos | 44c | 25.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…8545backed NC Dinos | 50c | 23.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5a…e7e2backed Kia Tigers | 50c | 23.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…dc23backed Kia Tigers | 50c | 23.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6184…77debacked NC Dinos | 50c | 23.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed NC Dinos | 68c | 17.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.