CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FengDa Gaming vs Alter Ego (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup 2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa920618da4a830131fba483b11e4376c2f6f33eb3888e617f75a6dd93e3f54e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FengDa Gamingof FengDa Gaming, Alter Ego
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,666
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,687
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,666 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FengDa Gaming | 45c | 2,201$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.22 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed Alter Ego | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Alter Ego | 58c | 891.35$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.8 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed Alter Ego | 73c | 758.93$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.99 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fd…8002backed FengDa Gaming | 16c | 697.44$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.21 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FengDa Gaming | 27c | 666.66$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.66 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Alter Ego | 80c | 627.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.76 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FengDa Gaming | 38c | 456.7$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.01 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked FengDa Gaming | 19c | 377.8$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.41 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0e…021ebacked Alter Ego | 70c | 353.8$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.38 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed FengDa Gaming | 35c | 234$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.28 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Alter Ego | 68c | 215.22$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.57 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb94f…07a6backed FengDa Gaming | 17c | 207.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.64 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57eb…beeabacked Alter Ego | 51c | 196.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed FengDa Gaming | 60c | 172.89$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.96 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a39…fa93backed FengDa Gaming | 59c | 145.44$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.24 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc579…57bfbacked Alter Ego | 55c | 130$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked FengDa Gaming | 26c | 114.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.51 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…870ebacked FengDa Gaming | 24c | 112$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.12 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed FengDa Gaming | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed FengDa Gaming | 33c | 111.06$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.41 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked FengDa Gaming | 32c | 103.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.13 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked FengDa Gaming | 31c | 101.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.55 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked FengDa Gaming | 61c | 97.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed FengDa Gaming | 25c | 96.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.62 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed FengDa Gaming | 55c | 90.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed FengDa Gaming | 43c | 86.63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.73 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e90…0bd0backed FengDa Gaming | 72c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…b19fbacked Alter Ego | 75c | 66.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed FengDa Gaming | 28c | 65.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed FengDa Gaming | 21c | 65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.35 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Alter Ego | 62c | 54.2$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Alter Ego | 67c | 49.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…be26backed Alter Ego | 73c | 47.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked FengDa Gaming | 38c | 44.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Alter Ego | 62c | 44.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca5…9343backed Alter Ego | 26c | 43.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…35f4backed Alter Ego | 47c | 42.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed Alter Ego | 50c | 37.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 404 | 57.2%231 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Alter Ego | 37c | 37.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 61 | 6.6%4 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…7e34backed FengDa Gaming | 34c | 34.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Alter Ego | 79c | 29.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed Alter Ego | 65c | 22.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81fc…f616backed Alter Ego | 75c | 20.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Alter Ego | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a0…0516backed Alter Ego | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked FengDa Gaming | 56c | 17.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Alter Ego | 80c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 159 | 65.4%104 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FengDa Gaming vs Alter Ego (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup 2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: FengDa Gaming vs Alter Ego - Map 2 WinnerFengDa Gaming won
- Map 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.