Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ebc63bbb62d6c5dbced50993778c53505c55e3f195bf39d019a88e9afa7aee2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes | 53c | 39,177$20,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,741.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 47c | 21,993$10,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,561.64 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed No | 47c | 18,924$8,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,029.95 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa569…08dfbacked Yes | 54c | 9,000$4,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,859.97 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 8,885$4,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,477.4 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Yes | 50c | 3,914$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.46 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Yes | 51c | 3,075$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.83 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 49c | 2,208$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.4 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4b…541bbacked Yes | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,977$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 47c | 1,528$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.24 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 51c | 1,519$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.52 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked No | 46c | 1,429$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.1 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 13c | 1,079$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.27 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 11c | 1,055$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.79 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 51c | 999.85$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.93 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 53c | 962.33$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.83 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5534…1036backed Yes | 54c | 774.55$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 52c | 648.47$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.79 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 50c | 639.01$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.54 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 54c | 522.21$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 20c | 499.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked No | 48c | 490.46$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.04 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd4…5faabacked No | 45c | 429.78$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Yes | 49c | 417.44$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.54 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.51 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 61c | 320.2$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.32 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 48c | 305.09$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.03 | 125 | 60.8%76 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 54c | 302.76$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.9 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 45c | 269.36$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.15 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 46c | 238.56$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.25 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 77c | 226.09$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 54c | 214.62$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.35 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 46c | 209.01$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.23 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 24c | 204.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 271 | 42.8%116 W · 155 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 48c | 201.52$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.6 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 70c | 195.34$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.65 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed No | 53c | 194.36$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 49c | 193.82$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.01 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 47c | 188.6$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.03 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 47c | 141.13$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.19 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 55c | 134.76$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.87 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 47c | 123.02$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 51c | 115.7$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 124 | 60.5%75 W · 49 L | +19.9wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c73ebacked Yes | 27c | 107.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…5a5fbacked Yes | 53c | 100.14$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.07 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.34per pick | 52cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 51c | 97.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…8ea4backed Yes | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked Yes | 53c | 94.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 48c | 90.32$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed No | 47c | 89.77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.72 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 47c | 88$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 44c | 81$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed No | 52c | 76.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b2…bc20backed Yes | 18c | 74.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 49c | 73.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.33 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 41c | 70.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.24 | 84 | 20.2%17 W · 67 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 56c | 70$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 46c | 67.63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.52 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 50c | 65.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 70c | 65.46$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes | 47c | 62.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a5…7f75backed Yes | 55c | 60.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Yes | 48c | 59.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked No | 48c | 59.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes | 25c | 56.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +30%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…bb76backed Yes | 51c | 54.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…f457backed Yes | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 46c | 50.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…8452backed Yes | 48c | 50.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +120.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcb…575ebacked Yes | 55c | 49.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +127.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked Yes | 48c | 48.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 43c | 47.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 105 | 32.4%34 W · 71 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 46c | 45.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2234backed No | 24c | 44.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 44c | 44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca5…9343backed Yes | 57c | 42.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 51c | 40.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 51c | 39.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 51c | 36.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 164 | 64%105 W · 59 L | +28.5wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 205 | 40%82 W · 123 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b76…ec0cbacked Yes | 53c | 31.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 49c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b0…fa3bbacked Yes | 48c | 30.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…50adbacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Yes | 53c | 27.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 47c | 27.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 45c | 26.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 49c | 26.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 61c | 25.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 44c | 25.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will Hertha BSC vs. Holstein Kiel end in a draw?No won
- Will Holstein Kiel win on 2026-04-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.