Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x793410cb9c0cdda61e685457eab862fd5fc75b551420eac4ca09fab193125f25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,212
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,502
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,212 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Yes | 72c | 5,431$3,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.16 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 28c | 3,229$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.18 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 2,606$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.99 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes | 72c | 1,966$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.59 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 46c | 1,642$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.32 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 27c | 1,360$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.42 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 28c | 1,076$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.75 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 54c | 878.99$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.33 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 37c | 667.06$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.91 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 55c | 600.25$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.25 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 45c | 555.15$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.82 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 80c | 537.23$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.93 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 58c | 518.53$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.1 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 38c | 418$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.16 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 72c | 402.52$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.71 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 51c | 399.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 55c | 351.26$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.61 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 54c | 340.72$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.73 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 29c | 329.82$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.82 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 42c | 228.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.93 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed No | 18c | 228.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.15 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Yes | 43c | 224.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.02 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 69c | 218.26$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +13.0wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +72%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 29c | 168.19$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked Yes | 30c | 160.34$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.44 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 38c | 157.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 37c | 136.47$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.77 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed No | 61c | 135.91$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.02 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 54c | 126.83$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.34 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 59c | 115.15$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.51 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 52c | 110$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 31c | 108.38$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.83 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 38c | 107.51$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.93 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 48c | 106.57$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed No | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 29c | 95.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.98 | 105 | 32.4%34 W · 71 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Yes | 52c | 95.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.86 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Yes | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 69c | 70.26$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +12.5wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 37c | 66.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.84 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Yes | 72c | 59.43$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Yes | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 44c | 52.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 55c | 52.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…4a23backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +49%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 35c | 49.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 54c | 49.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca5…9343backed Yes | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 38c | 43.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 38c | 43.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked No | 46c | 42.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked No | 64c | 42.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 54c | 41.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes | 41c | 37.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +30%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 56c | 30.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 45c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 62c | 20.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Yes | 54c | 19.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 53c | 18.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will Karlsruher SC vs. Hannover 96 end in a draw?No won
- Will Karlsruher SC win on 2026-04-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.