Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will NEC win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56d4eb6c4f040b630df6a460403ea1983990f7a92cb01ef21ce2d55190d66651
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,541
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,432
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,541 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes | 20c | 2,424$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.89 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…4352backed No | 78c | 2,263$1,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes | 22c | 1,886$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.96 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 16c | 1,787$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.73 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 80c | 1,557$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 9c | 1,324$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.12 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 20c | 952$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.4 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 80c | 650.85$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.17 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 76c | 650.5$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf277…9a5fbacked Yes | 15c | 632.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.9 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 16c | 513.87$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.83 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 80c | 400.78$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 22c | 373.62$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.2 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 109 | 20.2%22 W · 87 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…4c8bbacked Yes | 17c | 285.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 18c | 230.06$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Yes | 14c | 189.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 20c | 166.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 79c | 165.29$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.71 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 14c | 160.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 19c | 159.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Yes | 18c | 158.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked Yes | 21c | 149.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 20c | 137.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…0b3bbacked Yes | 20c | 130.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes | 22c | 120.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 80c | 119.05$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 21c | 113.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 215 | 40.5%87 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 132 | 65.2%86 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 80c | 98.8$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba6c…08ebbacked Yes | 20c | 95.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 21c | 90.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca5…9343backed Yes | 20c | 71.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 20c | 70.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…dac8backed No | 78c | 68.09$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 79c | 47.78$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 80c | 43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 76c | 29.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 74c | 13.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NEC win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will FC Twente '65 vs. NEC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-04-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.