Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Twente '65 vs. NEC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56d8cb39bf6544175fadbe14a9c661bd3aba7a74cf60234681069c0bd09f1460
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,226
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,226 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 3,799$2,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,832.12 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 22c | 2,860$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,230.49 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 34c | 1,976$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.66 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 41c | 1,299$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.3 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 57c | 1,198$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.49 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 22c | 1,028$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.92 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 67c | 745.99$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.81 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 78c | 547$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.66 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 79c | 497.47$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.5 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed No | 42c | 229.81$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18d7…2968backed Yes | 23c | 208.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.07 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 16c | 205$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.52 | 109 | 20.2%22 W · 87 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Yes | 22c | 171.51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.78 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 76c | 157.89$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 58c | 156.34$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.23 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked No | 37c | 156.03$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.73 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 124.34$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.99 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 77c | 122.39$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.24 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 56c | 121.24$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 46c | 116.55$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.24 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed No | 42c | 114.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 22c | 107.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.16 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 101.26$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.98 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 132 | 65.2%86 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed Yes | 21c | 95.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.18 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 23c | 82.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.86 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 76c | 77.03$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.29 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 21c | 76.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 22c | 72.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x806a…62d7backed Yes | 33c | 72.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63aa…8b6fbacked Yes | 23c | 62.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.9 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xded6…f649backed Yes | 80c | 61.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 70c | 54.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 78c | 52.72$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 22c | 52.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.01 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 21c | 47.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 22c | 47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 70c | 45.17$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 52c | 44.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 65c | 39.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x453c…ae42backed Yes | 76c | 38.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 79c | 34.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 79c | 34.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 79c | 34.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…56e5backed Yes | 56c | 33.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Yes | 44c | 33.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…f7a9backed Yes | 79c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…3a92backed No | 78c | 25.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd67e…8a91backed No | 69c | 24.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 77c | 23.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 79c | 23.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf74…d8bcbacked Yes | 76c | 19.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…a6fabacked No | 70c | 15.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 74c | 15.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…8417backed No | 79c | 14.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 74cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Twente '65 vs. NEC end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-04-25?No won
- Will NEC win on 2026-04-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.