TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-04-29?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,759
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,006

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,759 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No62c16,199$9,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,987.195,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa796…82fdbacked Yes38c13,304$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,303.831947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No63c6,425$4,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,025.961,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6084…84ecbacked Yes38c5,306$2,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,286.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+31.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Yes20c3,309$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,647.26634.8%23 W · 43 L+13.5wins+0.20per pick14cpaid+156.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xf797…37ccbacked Yes39c1,405$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.752548%12 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No62c1,304$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.941,11049.5%549 W · 561 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No62c1,242$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.212552.8%66 W · 59 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Yes38c532.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.169542.1%40 W · 55 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked No8c490.07$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.96341.3%26 W · 37 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+53.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No62c483.87$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013849.3%68 W · 70 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked No20c478.37$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955226.9%14 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Yes64c470$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.219753.8%106 W · 91 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xffa9…eff1backed Yes79c379.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa202…9b12backed Yes65c335.9$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.91136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No62c322.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016647.6%79 W · 87 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0832…9182backed Yes32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.51258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes34c300$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19820420.1%41 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57f7…ae57backed Yes20c300$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401957.9%11 W · 8 L+7.9wins+0.42per pick16cpaid+242.1%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x452d…fa12backed Yes35c298.69$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.693100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No61c280.05$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.0340550.6%205 W · 200 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes36c280$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18017440.2%70 W · 104 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ab9…361dbacked Yes36c277.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.841233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-36.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Yes37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.274835.4%17 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No60c259.89$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.571,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x942d…896cbacked Yes65c252.31$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.31862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes35c251.59$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.5339954.6%218 W · 181 L+16.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Yes33c250.47$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.074744.7%21 W · 26 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No10c230.19$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8936142.4%153 W · 208 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1410…1ba2backed Yes36c193.96$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.96875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+45%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes77c185.08$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.885641.1%23 W · 33 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-33.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No27c176.11$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.382053.8%441 W · 379 L+25.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x982e…add6backed Yes40c175$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No61c155.59$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9113956.1%78 W · 61 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1683…e4abbacked Yes38c152.89$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.794045%18 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes59c138$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3923347.6%111 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes37c135.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.414953.1%26 W · 23 L+6.9wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+42%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd52c…6c59backed Yes37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.145028%14 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No63c132$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.1618353.6%98 W · 85 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No62c130$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.621152.1%110 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No62c130$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.614453.5%77 W · 67 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No41c127.87$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2124448.4%118 W · 126 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes49c124.04$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.4673850.3%371 W · 367 L-2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63a4…6c04backed Yes33c120$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.42343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes69c110.94$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9419268.2%131 W · 61 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7b8…e32bbacked Yes19c100$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81450%2 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+180.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6216152.2%84 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca07…6269backed No35c99.98$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.992040%8 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No60c93$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.83652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No62c90$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.815454.5%84 W · 70 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No62c80$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.615050.7%76 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No62c80$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.614452.1%75 W · 69 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked Yes19c75$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.751136.4%4 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick13cpaid+151.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x59b4…73e0backed Yes35c68.71$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.667143.7%31 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+42.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Yes37c67.75$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7538737.5%145 W · 242 L-1.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed No64c67$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0315470.8%109 W · 45 L+16.1wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+13.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5ca5…9343backed Yes39c64.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No63c61$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.41,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked No63c57.3$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3115971.1%113 W · 46 L+15.5wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+13.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes37c53.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.884650%23 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3aa7…303dbacked No60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.056759.7%40 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No62c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3118256%102 W · 80 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde78…1cf6backed Yes37c46.72$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.48666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked No43c44.21$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0714823%34 W · 114 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa485…92a5backed Yes74c41.89$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.897100%7 W · 0 L+3.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+126%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xde37…1911backed Yes34c41.18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7a4…31eebacked Yes37c40.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.54425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No62c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.816154.7%88 W · 73 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac03…f019backed Yes64c39.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.062075%15 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Yes65c38.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.467146.5%33 W · 38 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4350…4bbabacked Yes63c32.1$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.882556%14 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x983c…dd56backed Yes36c32$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.581163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+41.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Yes65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.771241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-28.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf79c…94eabacked Yes65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.772231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed No65c30.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7920860.1%125 W · 83 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36cf…d3aebacked Yes37c30.14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.091838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+31.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No62c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.616255.6%90 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No62c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.617953.6%96 W · 83 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc774…2777backed Yes76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1546422.6%105 W · 359 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No62c25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.514953.7%80 W · 69 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked No65c24.62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1614848%71 W · 77 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes76c24.37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.871,06342%446 W · 617 L-12.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfca2…e2a0backed No62c24.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+36.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e62…fd00backed Yes65c23.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.215040%20 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x535c…20fdbacked No69c21.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No62c21.32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2232457.1%185 W · 139 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Yes76c20.4$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.879842.9%42 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32b5…b692backed No62c20.16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.52050%10 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed No62c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.412354.5%67 W · 56 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No63c18.44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.528958.4%52 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5622…0111backed No63c18.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.61650%3 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No69c15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.351,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x418e…3740backed Yes77c14.23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.