Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-04-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12f7692d78b25c1f3ea7b3bb368fed1c06dd57d5756439f17a5e86249ef0f6ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,025
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,025 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31c1…7047backed No | 75c | 4,982$3,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,748.08 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 25c | 3,491$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,608.52 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 69c | 2,944$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.5 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 31c | 2,035$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.36 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 10c | 1,392$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.67 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked No | 71c | 833.46$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.46 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked No | 70c | 695.82$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.07 | 189 | 58.2%110 W · 79 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…f1c7backed No | 69c | 669.99$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.29 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 29c | 614.5$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.3 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 23c | 551.6$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.5 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 34c | 437.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.62 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked No | 70c | 420.86$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.6 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -8.5wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 420.77$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.03 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 79c | 412.03$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.36 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 31c | 403.44$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.14 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 15c | 354.88$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.65 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 30c | 299.92$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.67 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 32c | 299.75$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.83 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 39c | 286.53$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.37 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 79c | 285.26$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.09 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Yes | 21c | 272$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.79 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked No | 18c | 264.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…0dfebacked Yes | 25c | 193$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.18 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +105.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 29c | 170.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.28 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 24c | 143.16$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.8 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 77c | 132.3$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.74 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…57afbacked Yes | 31c | 127.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.97 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 21c | 121.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.79 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…431dbacked Yes | 32c | 116.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.47 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28da…c39bbacked Yes | 33c | 116.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 32c | 106.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.12 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 68c | 100.49$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.84 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.5 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 58c | 93.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 39c | 93.28$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 23c | 90.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.72 | 271 | 42.8%116 W · 155 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 19c | 83.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 31c | 76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.77 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 31c | 64.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.97 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 32c | 59.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.77 | 205 | 40%82 W · 123 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecb…1243backed No | 65c | 59.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca5…9343backed Yes | 32c | 58.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 71c | 53.79$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f62…a825backed Yes | 30c | 49.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 30c | 42.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569d…6b18backed No | 70c | 41.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 31c | 35.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 31c | 35.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 69c | 32.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 65c | 28.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1276…0845backed No | 69c | 28.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 69c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 62c | 19.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 68c | 14.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-04-26?this page
- Will SC Paderborn 07 vs. FC Schalke 04 end in a draw?No won
- Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-04-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.