Bundesliga · resolved market
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-04-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7b4788e5da80601fd2a4f2102e987baa73c5ba23fd8a1c92aa71cbd8f32cb8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,914
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,914 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 61c | 850.11$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.66 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 39c | 849.23$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.2 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…79b6backed No | 38c | 699.99$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 53c | 363.03$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 54c | 315.26$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.52 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…995ebacked No | 49c | 314.14$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.72 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 62c | 302.05$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.27 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4999…dea5backed Yes | 33c | 271.38$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Yes | 23c | 243$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.53 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 33c | 229.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.09 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 42c | 229.87$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.35 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 38c | 207.56$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.77 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 62c | 197.69$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.12 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 71c | 190.55$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.94 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 54c | 188.34$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.63 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x795a…2befbacked Yes | 41c | 159.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 15c | 148.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.08 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 66c | 147.95$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.72 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +12.5wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…70c5backed No | 73c | 134.77$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 61c | 128.08$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Yes | 51c | 127.66$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.11 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked No | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Yes | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Yes | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 39c | 98.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 62c | 97.72$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked No | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 54c | 90.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…cfc2backed No | 60c | 89.52$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.81 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 40c | 86.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 76c | 83.35$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Yes | 66c | 79.4$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1f…b12cbacked No | 60c | 73.09$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed No | 73c | 70.42$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 59c | 66.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 65c | 65.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 69c | 60.23$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 32c | 57.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 43c | 57.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 78c | 56.9$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 51c | 54.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 37c | 45.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 62c | 44.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked No | 35c | 39.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.69 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 38c | 38.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde6b…7178backed Yes | 39c | 36.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 62c | 34.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…5a5fbacked Yes | 62c | 30.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.34per pick | 52cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c08…3704backed Yes | 71c | 29.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca9…0898backed Yes | 76c | 26.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 64cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yes | 61c | 26.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 62c | 24.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked No | 60c | 20.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 63c | 19.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 63c | 19.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 63c | 19.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x351f…a826backed Yes | 64c | 18.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-04-26?this page
- Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-04-26?Yes won
- Will SC Paderborn 07 vs. FC Schalke 04 end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.