South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-04-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x297a79e348a2e016ecc448436c72f57827cc9d2c2f31d271012b4ff43bc0bc34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,843
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,843 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Yes | 23c | 14,066$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,249.54 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 5,217$4,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.66 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 2,450$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.86 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 1,721$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.82 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa06c…9d93backed Yes | 6c | 1,459$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed No | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4395…8fd0backed Yes | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 35cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 77c | 763.95$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.71 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 77c | 681.67$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.44 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes | 24c | 648$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.96 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…9fe7backed No | 77c | 503.9$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.9 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc9…a64cbacked No | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 76c | 487.64$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.61 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 17c | 481.42$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.73 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…acc4backed No | 73c | 433.51$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.05 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed Yes | 25c | 318$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.44 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 77c | 305$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.15 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad93…6bd3backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 202.01$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.96 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 16c | 162.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…df06backed Yes | 28c | 144.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…59a4backed Yes | 23c | 132.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 72c | 130.08$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.42 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 77c | 124.8$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…e7c2backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x166e…3303backed Yes | 23c | 93.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 13c | 92.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 74c | 89.23$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 77c | 68.2$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6a…26f7backed No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 78c | 62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe868…7c4fbacked Yes | 23c | 60.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 19c | 53.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 23c | 47.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 77c | 45.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca5…9343backed Yes | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422f…da1abacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed No | 72c | 36.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 77c | 32.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 72c | 27.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked No | 72c | 27.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649d…8548backed No | 72c | 27.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 77c | 24.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa434…e508backed No | 75c | 21.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…da09backed No | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd8…bfe1backed No | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 78c | 18.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e83…b22fbacked No | 77c | 16.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed No | 77c | 15.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.59 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…d7a0backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 79c | 14.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.02 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed No | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-04-29?this page
- Will CS Cienciano vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?No won
- Will CS Cienciano win on 2026-04-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.