TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CS Cienciano win on 2026-04-29?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$139,092
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$140,660

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,092 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed No54c78,181$41,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,973.6529446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4956…e2c7backed Yes50c27,360$13,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,736.097950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Yes46c12,268$5,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,616.32825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-47.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed No47c10,138$4,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,746.775660.7%34 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e01…0875backed Yes48c9,108$4,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,758.851957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes53c7,952$4,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,764.825,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Yes48c7,697$3,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,039.175543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No50c7,686$3,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,881.210846.3%50 W · 58 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Yes45c7,422$3,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,082.228351.8%43 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0165…8235backed No52c6,608$3,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,424.85540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89bd…3f72backed No51c4,710$2,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,379.221968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4912…b76fbacked Yes45c4,623$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,542.591266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+27.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Yes45c4,373$1,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,405.331560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes45c3,587$1,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,972.677556%42 W · 33 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Yes47c3,116$1,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,651.483167.7%21 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes50c2,885$1,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,431.61,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Yes45c2,185$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,201.781450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x188e…70d8backed Yes47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.66475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+53.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes49c1,663$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.852,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f01…0d90backed Yes48c1,030$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.42673.1%19 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+20.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes48c1,000$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.0223057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Yes46c882.61$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.613754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No52c859$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.582,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes45c812.5$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.4913049.2%64 W · 66 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No57c614.12$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.0521345.1%96 W · 117 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26cb…9fe7backed Yes46c582.61$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.614643.5%20 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes43c577.73$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.739562.1%59 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No48c560$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.821844.5%97 W · 121 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30e8…38b0backed No4c505$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2540%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Yes49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2551921.1%4 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.21per pick42cpaid-58.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Yes53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23514945%67 W · 82 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes51c490.2$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.9542250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes41c488.93$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.478,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cc0…6139backed Yes49c450$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.51546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No16c448.21$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.871,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x83de…1786backed Yes46c442.05$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.874348.8%21 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Yes47c436.98$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.614540%58 W · 87 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa96f…0cd0backed Yes52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.622454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x916c…6524backed Yes40c382.26$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.96650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No51c356.43$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.661,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No49c322.61$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.0833266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes54c318.92$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.571,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Yes48c303.24$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.9520138.3%77 W · 124 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x840d…3708backed No49c291.36$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.62944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9006…385abacked Yes51c289.4$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.45650%28 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes49c266.11$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.7178756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No51c250$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.451,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No51c250$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.451,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd056…f1bebacked Yes54c231.48$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.481861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+26.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Yes45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.22742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0831745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No53c180$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1655155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes47c173.55$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.351,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Yes47c168.89$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.5114535.9%52 W · 93 L+0.5wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes43c162.79$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.798535.3%30 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Yes46c160$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.417560.6%106 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Yes45c153.86$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.8610652.8%56 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No53c152.03$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.121,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Yes46c132$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.28837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-34.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc056…e188backed Yes78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…7f73backed Yes44c125.92$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.519447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No54c125$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7518338.8%71 W · 112 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes46c125$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.7599259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes49c119.98$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1926749.4%132 W · 135 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No17c115.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7644843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe9f…8e23backed Yes49c112.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.822737%10 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Yes50c103.58$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.798451.2%43 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes53c101$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6125955.2%143 W · 116 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Yes49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517149.3%35 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Yes51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4912051.7%62 W · 58 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Yes45c99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7815651.9%81 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d6a…26f7backed Yes50c96.48$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.241136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes59c90.43$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.931,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc92d…9691backed Yes44c79.79$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.796958%40 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed Yes59c76.81$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.794971.4%35 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No51c69.68$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2813248.5%64 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf52f…b2f5backed Yes50c66.14$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.07966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+65.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked No48c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.87950.6%40 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e5b…292bbacked Yes45c55.36$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.45650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5116266%107 W · 55 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No55c43.12$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.616960.9%103 W · 66 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e59…cc2ebacked Yes47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.553246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes67c41.53$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5842946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes73c41.16$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1610966.1%72 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed No51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.43145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa770…24a6backed Yes45c38.68$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.27450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1522…d0bdbacked Yes50c38.36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Yes45c37$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.351060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Yes48c35.37$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3628665%186 W · 100 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b32…8052backed No51c35.1$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-64.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x07fe…4d66backed Yes45c34.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.941258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked No50c34.43$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0814254.9%78 W · 64 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe497…2b89backed Yes46c32.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.612445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes67c32.53$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8625044%110 W · 140 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f1d…3ca2backed Yes76c31.37$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8c9…bf73backed No50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e83…b22fbacked Yes46c29.03$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.82475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+32.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4350…4bbabacked Yes73c28.1$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.593458.8%20 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e05…00bebacked No50c26.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.47650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0972…a5f7backed No48c26.24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.