TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-04-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,407
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,792

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,407 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked No73c8,289$6,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,212.8877751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes35c8,051$2,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,849.2353040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No64c5,728$3,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,056.0313553.3%72 W · 63 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x42ff…6ecebacked Yes33c3,078$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.6425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Yes32c2,023$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.692544%11 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No74c1,852$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.4599340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No73c1,651$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.943,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes18c1,585$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.2425851.2%132 W · 126 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No73c1,511$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.51,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes20c1,454$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.5510043%43 W · 57 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No62c1,369$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.1621547.9%103 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No78c1,153$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.178344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No64c1,103$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.0197146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e1…62a2backed Yes37c1,094$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.853479.4%27 W · 7 L+9.3wins+0.27per pick52cpaid+81.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No80c1,069$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.5927058.9%159 W · 111 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Yes36c1,005$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.961040%4 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+51.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes18c967.29$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.8816657.2%95 W · 71 L+12.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No63c958.37$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.951,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Yes36c803.55$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.28450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes20c801.45$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.7722946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes29c769.37$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.3858043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes15c730.45$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.1713518.5%25 W · 110 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Yes36c700$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes29c654.83$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.481,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4744…ea27backed Yes30c628.64$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Yes25c595.66$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.84025%10 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked No72c589.92$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.187564%48 W · 27 L+8.8wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No75c589.39$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.5441339%161 W · 252 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked No61c535.35$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.7922269.4%154 W · 68 L+31.4wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+33.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes27c505$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.8523548.9%115 W · 120 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9027837.8%105 W · 173 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No62c468.77$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.1368550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No66c455.38$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.5620249%99 W · 103 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Yes25c424.02$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.012040%8 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes13c400$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5252639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes38c386.1$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.341225%3 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x429e…41bdbacked No61c373.93$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.836100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+66.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No66c340.66$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.827949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes19c299.69$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9428851.4%148 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked Yes13c296$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.481833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+45.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed Yes17c282.43$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes35c274.57$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.14641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes18c269.39$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4924326.3%64 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes18c268.75$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.371540%6 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+27.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed Yes35c248.92$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2119960.8%121 W · 78 L+22.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Yes24c247.38$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3710319.4%20 W · 83 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Yes11c245.28$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.359740.2%39 W · 58 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked Yes20c243.6$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.657644.7%34 W · 42 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+38.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No64c243.11$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.4535149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No64c202.5$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.980358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c07…4529backed Yes27c191.24$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.631957.9%11 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+50.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes20c170.93$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8320535.1%72 W · 133 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Yes34c165.2$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.384445.5%20 W · 24 L+5.7wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+36.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518065%52 W · 28 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes33c146.62$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.093740.5%15 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-33.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No64c146.57$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1472850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No62c129.37$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1619560%117 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes38c126.51$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.072035%7 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No64c119.99$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.226050.4%131 W · 129 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Yes27c119.78$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.341838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+35.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeca6…08ffbacked Yes17c115.34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.611435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+29.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No64c109.81$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4170249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bfd…a4bbbacked Yes35c109.55$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No75c105.97$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8887154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x628d…a012backed Yes18c105.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.022142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+26.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Yes26c95.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.852937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…ab23backed No72c89.7$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36cf…d3aebacked Yes27c88.54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.913336.4%12 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2709…9e3bbacked Yes38c88.47$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.75846.6%27 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked No75c84.71$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.183141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Yes18c82$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.818934.8%31 W · 58 L-16.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-39.7%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x7a84…e925backed Yes38c80.74$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x560b…5d36backed No65c80.61$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No76c79.37$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0530444.1%134 W · 170 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes27c78.54$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5424920.9%52 W · 197 L-19.4wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes37c78.02$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.872343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15e7…b4a1backed Yes37c77.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No72c76.08$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6371443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes33c75.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8626150.2%131 W · 130 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No65c75.2$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2619255.2%106 W · 86 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Yes38c75.13$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8916744.3%74 W · 93 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Yes18c73.42$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.310249%50 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x093b…4e14backed No66c70.22$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.183375.8%25 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No68c68.78$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8524859.3%147 W · 101 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No68c68.78$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8522263.1%140 W · 82 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7747…7cf2backed No72c68.28$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x659f…04e4backed No65c67.23$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.532544%11 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-28.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes36c66.78$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.045354.7%29 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No67c61.46$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2219056.3%107 W · 83 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed No63c59$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.838760.9%53 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5546…e3cfbacked Yes18c57.73$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.39633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No67c57.42$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6854949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59b4…73e0backed Yes35c57.01$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.192123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-48.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf23…dcb7backed Yes33c56.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+48.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No77c55.06$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8592346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ce…316ebacked Yes36c53.55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.23450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-27%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7375…d8d4backed Yes28c53.34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.94250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x456a…6a90backed No74c52.8$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.73560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No76c52.45$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.591,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes26c50.18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0530957%176 W · 133 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.