TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Real Salt Lake end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,800
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,681

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,800 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked No58c11,735$6,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,887.2477751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f7b…7f37backed Yes26c11,488$2,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,986.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Yes54c9,188$4,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,988.482157.1%12 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No74c4,318$3,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.661,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No73c2,978$2,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.363,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked No41c2,710$1,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,601.1814761.2%90 W · 57 L+20.8wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+43.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No74c2,222$1,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.7218655.4%103 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Yes19c1,954$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.0513844.9%62 W · 76 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No79c1,703$1,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.3817753.1%94 W · 83 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No74c1,436$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.157949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No49c1,320$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.9499340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes33c1,066$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.8178344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Yes59c1,055$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2704047.5%19 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No74c989.9$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.3797146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Yes59c929.48$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.232755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6580…6fa8backed Yes26c781.1$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.094017.5%7 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No71c754.43$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.2848344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No61c678.87$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.8422946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No67c666.26$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.171,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefa1…8a16backed No66c587.33$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.692958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes39c565.61$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.7626346.8%123 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdca9…0898backed Yes53c558.93$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.9666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Yes43c515.63$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.042934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0dbe…9013backed Yes60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-65.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No47c379.25$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.456841.2%28 W · 40 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No56c336.21$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.5845140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes9c279.53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4613518.5%25 W · 110 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No56c265.97$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.0110249%50 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No74c264.45$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.8522263.1%140 W · 82 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No74c240.82$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.6171443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0433…653cbacked Yes26c235.19$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.15250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa349…81ecbacked No44c220$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.25100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+68%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Yes60c215.74$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.0920%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No73c213.1$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9737649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes24c212.3$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8358043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No58c210.57$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.0254949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes36c203.7$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.333129%9 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe84c…5269backed Yes24c199.81$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.721618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Yes46c195.87$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.948934.8%31 W · 58 L-16.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-39.7%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xef20…c46abacked No39c192.73$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.771384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.6wins+0.28per pick57cpaid+53.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes24c190.73$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6220249%99 W · 103 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes26c183.77$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.783253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd7…d82ebacked Yes42c172.89$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4705…fd08backed Yes26c171.24$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.52650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No74c166.45$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2872850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e1f…a8b0backed Yes29c165.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed No77c164.95$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.945255.8%29 W · 23 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x86b3…7650backed No46c164.07$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes21c158.65$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.346124.6%15 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed No71c158.64$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2719960.8%121 W · 78 L+22.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No74c150$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398065%52 W · 28 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yes35c145.32$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9739234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No48c138.24$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.520252%105 W · 97 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes40c123.13$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8337249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed No77c122.89$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.263551.4%18 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes25c119.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3026050.4%131 W · 129 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa442…dca3backed Yes40c115.68$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.27366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+53.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes28c112.11$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8720535.1%72 W · 133 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No74c108.56$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7335149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No74c101.86$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5470249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No74c101.26$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3380358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No77c97.33$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2724859.3%147 W · 101 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yes40c96.22$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8825934.4%89 W · 170 L-28.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes26c95.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8513243.9%58 W · 74 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdda2…ba18backed Yes26c95.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-53.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes16c94.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0824920.9%52 W · 197 L-19.4wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed No46c84.14$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.4419645.9%90 W · 106 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked No61c80.08$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2315676.9%120 W · 36 L+32.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+43.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x206b…61f0backed Yes62c79.82$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.49250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No72c78$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8492346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e1…62a2backed No61c72.66$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.343479.4%27 W · 7 L+9.3wins+0.27per pick52cpaid+81.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No73c67.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1919255.2%106 W · 86 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdff2…2e27backed No78c64.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2716856%94 W · 74 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce37…5bcdbacked Yes23c62.2$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.311729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes63c62.16$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1112751.2%65 W · 62 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x874f…b0a5backed No75c61.88$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.47425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-66.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c5e…7166backed No75c60.41$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x093b…4e14backed No74c60.01$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.63375.8%25 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed No78c59.44$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0720660.7%125 W · 81 L+19.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd3be…c163backed Yes49c59.42$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.832441.7%10 W · 14 L-5.9wins-0.24per pick66cpaid-40.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x8c76…2632backed No60c59.23$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.723429.4%10 W · 24 L-6.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-51.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6027…31b5backed No43c54.58$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+130.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No77c54.38$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.319056.3%107 W · 83 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ca8…c044backed No75c52.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.21450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1326150.2%131 W · 130 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes59c48.77$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.774868.8%33 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x91aa…0209backed Yes40c48.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes26c47.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.42616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-69.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed No76c46.22$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.896443.8%28 W · 36 L-7.4wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-21.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3092…c9a8backed No74c39.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.391471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed No78c35.4$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.688041.3%33 W · 47 L-11.4wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x840e…b9edbacked No64c34.81$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.53757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No73c33.79$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1215458.4%90 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed No77c32.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5410957.8%63 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked No38c32$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2013464.9%87 W · 47 L+17.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+22.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked No79c31.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.567644.7%34 W · 42 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+38.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No58c31$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0216853.6%90 W · 78 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No80c30.75$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1516657.2%95 W · 71 L+12.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed No73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.49654.2%52 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.