Premier League · resolved market
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc62cc4db514b46487accc7d04328a5f860b505083dbd110c207e153839ffc314
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 43c | 1,125$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.5 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 29c | 904.49$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.1 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 23c | 869$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.87 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 79c | 855.76$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.72 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 42c | 785.65$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.68 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 57c | 654.64$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.14 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…ab6abacked No | 11c | 622.54$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.58 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 10c | 589.52$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.07 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 55c | 537.2$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.18 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked No | 80c | 504.72$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.28 | 93 | 73.1%68 W · 25 L | +17.6wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 49c | 484.41$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.08 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 43c | 449.21$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.05 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 27c | 381.18$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.37 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Yes | 77c | 328.93$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.11 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +115%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 58c | 285.99$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.39 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Yes | 55c | 274.67$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.87 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 22c | 254.28$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.72 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…53f2backed No | 58c | 240.78$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.65 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 57c | 237$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.09 | 1,615 | 34.9%564 W · 1,051 L | -28.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 7c | 210.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 772 | 36.4%281 W · 491 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 20c | 176.14$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.4 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Yes | 42c | 173.74$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.77 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 57c | 172.93$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.57 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 24c | 166$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.09 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 79c | 158$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.93 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked No | 18c | 138$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 58c | 137.62$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.37 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…ab76backed No | 24c | 127.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 21cpaid | +121.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 57c | 127$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.39 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 16c | 114.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.51 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 58c | 109.95$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.77 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 58c | 108.2$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.76 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 57c | 101.01$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed No | 24c | 98.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 58c | 95.1$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.16 | 696 | 51.1%356 W · 340 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 64c | 69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 160 | 24.4%39 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca5…9343backed Yes | 21c | 68.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 41cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 53c | 55.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 1,161 | 57.4%666 W · 495 L | +40.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…b169backed No | 24c | 50.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb135…f5b9backed No | 58c | 45.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 60c | 43.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed No | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 202 | 59.9%121 W · 81 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 58c | 23.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 66c | 19.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 279 | 48%134 W · 145 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked No | 58c | 19.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Derby County FC win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Derby County FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-04-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.